Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2021-11-25

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2021-11-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 68257 2233 30 4 0
c1 822 8213 2144 450 0
c2 29 876 3659 2735 0
c3 3 214 851 1489 0
c4 0 70 140 384 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-11-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 67804 2147 13 1 0
c1 450 7711 2057 184 0
c2 13 767 3726 2929 0
c3 0 186 760 2081 0
c4 0 46 128 338 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-11-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 66214 2049 23 6 0
c1 806 6932 1857 285 0
c2 0 1216 3930 3172 0
c3 0 222 603 1963 0
c4 0 23 134 394 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-11-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 65182 2170 33 11 0
c1 793 6260 2136 430 0
c2 0 1370 3708 3316 0
c3 0 197 600 1848 0
c4 0 12 140 416 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 65158 2179 34 10 0
c1 817 6262 2160 415 0
c2 0 1338 3661 3323 0
c3 0 219 625 1855 0
c4 0 11 137 418 0

Date: 2021-11-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 63956 1996 47 3 0
c1 812 5328 2270 448 0
c2 7 1159 3930 3268 0
c3 1 274 617 1687 0
c4 0 21 178 461 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 63911 2000 47 3 0
c1 859 5325 2303 461 0
c2 6 1153 3893 3246 0
c3 0 280 630 1700 0
c4 0 20 169 457 0

Date: 2021-11-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 65490 2046 64 11 0
c1 464 5081 1389 132 0
c2 11 1036 4808 2834 0
c3 2 130 647 2064 0
c4 0 29 268 473 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 65211 2085 72 16 0
c1 714 4768 1855 527 0
c2 35 1157 4255 2786 0
c3 7 271 698 1692 0
c4 0 41 296 493 0

Date: 2021-12-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 64191 2524 63 8 0
c1 595 5164 1015 81 0
c2 15 1326 4583 2547 0
c3 3 188 835 1832 0
c4 0 109 361 463 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 63994 2593 65 8 0
c1 774 4745 1249 274 0
c2 26 1483 4313 2554 0
c3 10 362 808 1618 0
c4 0 128 422 477 0

Date: 2021-12-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 62224 2492 11 10 0
c1 731 5594 796 88 0
c2 10 2133 3890 2005 0
c3 8 223 773 2055 0
c4 0 103 313 421 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 61897 2508 11 10 0
c1 1007 5004 725 214 0
c2 59 2436 4000 2117 0
c3 10 491 684 1739 0
c4 0 106 363 499 0


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