Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2021-11-11

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2021-11-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 72622 3013 8 1 0
c1 1018 8665 3052 762 0
c2 8 1177 3344 1743 0
c3 4 274 590 913 0
c4 0 180 736 1081 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-11-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 72278 2795 14 0 0
c1 636 8899 1636 127 0
c2 0 1571 4233 2376 0
c3 0 240 852 1457 0
c4 0 26 235 747 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-11-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 70720 2643 17 2 0
c1 686 8720 1810 218 0
c2 1 1716 4145 2463 0
c3 0 169 1023 1817 0
c4 0 13 181 739 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-11-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 71533 2853 5 7 0
c1 743 8780 1753 467 0
c2 3 1288 4389 2868 0
c3 0 135 875 1620 0
c4 0 15 186 759 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 71507 2884 6 9 0
c1 770 8768 1778 457 0
c2 2 1270 4334 2860 0
c3 0 136 905 1635 0
c4 0 13 185 760 0

Date: 2021-11-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 69223 2814 1 4 0
c1 934 8841 1643 664 0
c2 10 1248 3839 2711 0
c3 0 264 916 1318 0
c4 0 24 277 797 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 69220 2791 1 8 0
c1 938 8889 1664 638 0
c2 9 1213 3798 2697 0
c3 0 274 938 1339 0
c4 0 24 275 812 0

Date: 2021-11-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 68002 2859 0 0 0
c1 716 9133 1751 236 0
c2 30 1292 3479 2369 0
c3 1 221 1078 1815 0
c4 0 12 198 552 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 67503 3042 1 0 0
c1 1161 8504 1919 637 0
c2 59 1428 3384 2370 0
c3 24 474 942 1373 0
c4 2 69 260 592 0

Date: 2021-11-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 66923 2620 5 1 0
c1 855 8664 2027 509 0
c2 50 1019 3349 2344 0
c3 16 226 1061 1532 0
c4 0 79 137 595 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 66372 2783 5 1 0
c1 1249 8006 2061 594 0
c2 115 1231 3397 2544 0
c3 95 435 911 1314 0
c4 13 153 205 528 0

Date: 2021-11-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 68257 2233 30 4 0
c1 822 8213 2144 450 0
c2 29 876 3659 2735 0
c3 3 214 851 1489 0
c4 0 70 140 384 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 67674 2340 35 3 0
c1 1250 7565 1776 428 0
c2 102 1211 4029 3104 0
c3 76 348 791 1134 0
c4 9 142 193 393 0


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