Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2021-11-04

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2021-10-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 77600 2596 2 0 0
c1 639 10718 1754 205 0
c2 46 1937 3411 1925 0
c3 1 617 1188 1141 0
c4 0 35 563 715 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-10-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 76013 2818 15 0 0
c1 501 11044 2036 386 0
c2 22 1157 3055 1025 0
c3 5 346 1084 1524 0
c4 0 199 956 1231 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-11-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 74825 2973 4 0 0
c1 877 8713 3399 632 0
c2 9 1135 3203 1409 0
c3 0 308 1149 1625 0
c4 0 159 1135 1604 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-11-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 73061 2940 6 0 0
c1 1097 8215 3109 1012 0
c2 33 1290 2907 1818 0
c3 3 367 615 1096 0
c4 0 230 1130 1192 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 73016 2943 5 0 0
c1 1139 8171 3083 1009 0
c2 34 1329 2922 1796 0
c3 4 367 614 1118 0
c4 1 232 1143 1195 0

Date: 2021-11-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 73091 3109 7 0 0
c1 1152 8769 3136 767 0
c2 4 1392 3186 1866 0
c3 2 266 511 1088 0
c4 0 167 543 782 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 72938 3161 6 0 0
c1 1302 8699 3079 775 0
c2 6 1390 3214 1811 0
c3 3 277 541 1136 0
c4 0 176 543 781 0

Date: 2021-11-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 71515 2690 18 1 0
c1 559 8944 1728 177 0
c2 1 1790 4246 2272 0
c3 0 174 910 1622 0
c4 0 16 277 739 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 70558 2704 48 4 0
c1 1498 9215 2875 855 0
c2 7 1306 3243 2102 0
c3 8 244 524 1135 0
c4 4 145 489 715 0

Date: 2021-11-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 70758 2730 9 5 0
c1 826 8600 1757 304 0
c2 2 1563 4245 2670 0
c3 0 140 1030 1720 0
c4 0 14 170 736 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 69784 2452 32 15 0
c1 1755 8938 2796 979 0
c2 28 1261 3466 2519 0
c3 13 224 536 1208 0
c4 6 172 381 714 0

Date: 2021-11-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 69110 2750 6 6 0
c1 786 8892 1769 605 0
c2 4 1235 4066 2821 0
c3 0 231 911 1426 0
c4 0 20 285 722 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 68503 2598 27 14 0
c1 1362 8925 2495 1162 0
c2 23 1212 3620 2893 0
c3 9 215 441 859 0
c4 3 178 454 652 0


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