Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2021-10-28

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2021-10-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 76032 2888 1 0 0
c1 1120 10776 2192 259 0
c2 32 1691 1780 991 0
c3 0 934 805 594 0
c4 0 118 509 385 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-10-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 78101 2887 0 0 0
c1 519 11281 2154 492 0
c2 22 1568 1874 1624 0
c3 0 730 894 895 0
c4 0 460 672 666 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-10-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 76630 2684 0 0 0
c1 685 11044 2011 362 0
c2 34 1759 1915 1756 0
c3 1 784 1049 869 0
c4 0 290 958 997 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-10-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 76756 2633 0 0 0
c1 635 10868 1633 172 0
c2 46 2046 2664 1956 0
c3 0 762 1235 971 0
c4 0 73 789 913 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 76759 2758 0 0 0
c1 633 10719 1614 169 0
c2 43 2040 2679 1945 0
c3 2 779 1222 937 0
c4 0 86 806 961 0

Date: 2021-10-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 74939 2749 8 0 0
c1 595 10505 1910 227 0
c2 42 1848 3552 2237 0
c3 1 570 1073 1205 0
c4 0 32 392 520 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 74929 2805 8 0 0
c1 605 10435 1890 221 0
c2 42 1835 3544 2228 0
c3 1 593 1088 1194 0
c4 0 36 405 546 0

Date: 2021-11-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 76222 3013 13 0 0
c1 615 10006 2819 389 0
c2 10 1345 2985 1132 0
c3 0 300 1603 1606 0
c4 0 242 1231 1329 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 75846 3257 17 0 0
c1 989 8819 2766 345 0
c2 12 2264 4029 2433 0
c3 0 470 1507 1200 0
c4 0 96 332 478 0

Date: 2021-11-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 74976 3099 5 0 0
c1 980 8180 3389 1030 0
c2 13 1223 3036 1663 0
c3 2 370 741 1651 0
c4 0 186 1074 1308 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 74812 3310 8 0 0
c1 1141 7474 2797 893 0
c2 18 1795 3914 3088 0
c3 0 441 1197 1289 0
c4 0 38 329 382 0

Date: 2021-11-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 72622 3013 8 1 0
c1 1018 8665 3052 762 0
c2 8 1177 3344 1743 0
c3 4 274 590 913 0
c4 0 180 736 1081 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 72404 3156 13 1 0
c1 1248 8048 2612 555 0
c2 0 1833 3933 2503 0
c3 0 225 886 877 0
c4 0 47 286 564 0


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