Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2021-04-01

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2021-03-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51335 1616 17 4 0
c1 664 3193 281 78 0
c2 62 1942 1931 982 0
c3 29 949 2902 3036 0
c4 2 443 1502 4777 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-03-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51893 1256 23 6 0
c1 825 3798 206 37 0
c2 67 2141 2395 753 0
c3 13 496 2919 3736 0
c4 2 237 966 3722 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-03-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51779 1281 11 4 0
c1 1072 4168 131 39 0
c2 79 2730 1814 455 0
c3 20 732 2952 3563 0
c4 0 282 1119 3589 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-04-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51238 1515 8 0 0
c1 852 4626 139 21 0
c2 62 2578 1849 569 0
c3 6 963 2923 3631 0
c4 1 435 1395 4376 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51458 1757 8 0 0
c1 636 4442 154 24 0
c2 57 2495 1844 571 0
c3 7 994 2913 3635 0
c4 1 429 1395 4367 0

Date: 2021-04-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51056 1597 5 4 0
c1 1354 4053 189 25 0
c2 64 2492 1933 620 0
c3 13 1090 2273 3499 0
c4 8 883 1395 3810 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51365 1845 4 4 0
c1 1050 3896 204 34 0
c2 60 2355 1917 621 0
c3 12 1124 2284 3506 0
c4 8 895 1386 3793 0

Date: 2021-04-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51706 1654 14 1 0
c1 931 4576 237 66 0
c2 11 2198 2064 485 0
c3 0 1038 2193 3240 0
c4 0 381 1244 3947 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51524 1724 16 1 0
c1 911 3795 147 56 0
c2 103 2348 1846 574 0
c3 54 1212 2423 3211 0
c4 56 768 1320 3897 0

Date: 2021-04-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52440 1778 12 8 0
c1 1489 3352 191 37 0
c2 88 2680 1331 463 0
c3 10 1340 2539 2958 0
c4 0 537 1811 4510 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52114 1686 18 9 0
c1 1532 2770 69 21 0
c2 221 2787 1282 505 0
c3 81 1575 2605 2907 0
c4 79 869 1910 4534 0

Date: 2021-04-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52784 1751 9 4 0
c1 1863 2939 156 69 0
c2 215 2743 1179 441 0
c3 34 1862 2543 2754 0
c4 0 1650 2229 5335 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52316 1676 12 4 0
c1 1872 2377 99 46 0
c2 440 2855 1219 449 0
c3 150 2062 2676 2697 0
c4 118 1975 2110 5407 0


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