Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2021-03-18

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2021-03-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51604 1181 18 18 0
c1 696 3291 487 74 0
c2 31 1907 2383 829 0
c3 2 656 2324 3056 0
c4 0 214 1204 3633 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-03-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52210 1479 4 0 0
c1 425 4103 535 85 0
c2 5 1936 2361 653 0
c3 0 569 2459 2541 0
c4 0 173 1307 2805 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-03-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50193 1472 16 2 0
c1 400 3944 613 85 0
c2 17 2045 2555 711 0
c3 0 549 2711 3148 0
c4 0 72 1146 5133 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-03-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51446 1137 18 14 0
c1 474 3646 465 71 0
c2 20 2224 2169 802 0
c3 0 941 2397 3186 0
c4 0 314 1700 5300 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51458 1141 19 16 0
c1 468 3633 465 66 0
c2 14 2252 2200 795 0
c3 0 927 2382 3209 0
c4 0 309 1683 5287 0

Date: 2021-03-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51452 1353 16 9 0
c1 758 3392 185 39 0
c2 74 2519 1825 606 0
c3 6 1326 2478 3210 0
c4 0 709 1637 4419 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51473 1318 16 12 0
c1 736 3440 189 34 0
c2 77 2485 1841 632 0
c3 4 1350 2480 3197 0
c4 0 706 1615 4408 0

Date: 2021-03-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50811 1324 20 4 0
c1 583 3862 349 19 0
c2 143 2211 2253 874 0
c3 56 1147 2181 3769 0
c4 1 543 1231 5542 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50574 1360 21 4 0
c1 810 3505 318 20 0
c2 174 2291 1877 832 0
c3 22 1286 2273 3561 0
c4 14 645 1545 5791 0

Date: 2021-03-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 46041 1601 7 7 0
c1 581 3510 373 72 0
c2 108 1933 2129 1097 0
c3 14 1087 2411 2874 0
c4 0 473 1265 4254 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 45779 1631 8 7 0
c1 767 3211 368 78 0
c2 121 2060 1800 923 0
c3 27 1198 2513 2965 0
c4 50 504 1496 4331 0

Date: 2021-03-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51335 1616 17 4 0
c1 664 3193 281 78 0
c2 62 1942 1931 982 0
c3 29 949 2902 3036 0
c4 2 443 1502 4777 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50953 1613 17 4 0
c1 876 3090 310 84 0
c2 103 1869 1691 822 0
c3 41 1094 2868 3083 0
c4 119 477 1747 4884 0


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