Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2021-03-11

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2021-03-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52366 1397 30 6 0
c1 542 4115 553 139 0
c2 22 1707 2135 1119 0
c3 6 659 2117 3235 0
c4 0 189 785 2573 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-03-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52479 1485 19 7 0
c1 491 4300 493 55 0
c2 4 1545 2257 1127 1
c3 0 570 1833 3373 0
c4 0 265 1182 2651 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-03-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51272 1202 24 26 0
c1 423 4478 344 32 0
c2 6 1810 2482 886 0
c3 0 564 2093 3033 0
c4 0 176 1075 3095 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-03-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50852 1338 16 28 0
c1 517 3808 457 41 0
c2 22 1829 2463 838 0
c3 3 599 2179 2831 0
c4 0 161 1094 3150 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50808 1327 16 28 0
c1 561 3813 465 39 0
c2 23 1836 2450 840 0
c3 2 603 2203 2821 0
c4 0 156 1075 3160 0

Date: 2021-03-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50679 1363 17 3 0
c1 643 3389 531 168 0
c2 47 1791 2306 1024 0
c3 5 675 2087 2718 0
c4 0 249 1116 3257 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50616 1355 16 4 0
c1 705 3363 532 167 0
c2 47 1802 2305 1019 0
c3 6 695 2115 2753 0
c4 0 252 1089 3227 0

Date: 2021-03-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51853 1296 16 1 0
c1 384 3712 419 64 0
c2 9 2079 2519 579 0
c3 0 579 2801 2598 0
c4 0 122 1300 4178 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51675 1274 20 1 0
c1 492 3018 421 90 0
c2 51 2386 2347 734 0
c3 28 824 2864 2512 0
c4 0 286 1403 4083 0

Date: 2021-03-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 49913 1261 13 9 0
c1 443 3786 625 62 0
c2 10 2080 2480 736 0
c3 0 573 2897 3273 0
c4 0 95 1483 5162 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 49687 1281 18 12 0
c1 584 2965 570 106 0
c2 69 2334 2323 798 0
c3 26 920 3056 3242 0
c4 0 295 1531 5084 0

Date: 2021-03-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51401 1354 15 2 0
c1 691 3740 221 44 0
c2 42 2455 1886 681 0
c3 7 1237 2296 3285 0
c4 0 547 1516 4532 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51215 1435 17 3 0
c1 806 3040 250 53 0
c2 62 2527 1866 833 0
c3 57 1595 2180 3255 0
c4 1 736 1621 4400 0


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