Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2021-03-04

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2021-02-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50798 1466 7 5 0
c1 994 3848 368 39 0
c2 75 2598 2640 1094 0
c3 1 550 2098 3740 0
c4 0 147 796 2288 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-02-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52172 1293 17 7 0
c1 693 4508 470 29 0
c2 12 2174 2831 886 0
c3 1 449 2277 3734 0
c4 0 114 507 2424 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-03-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50874 1266 5 0 0
c1 548 4321 472 61 0
c2 17 2421 2415 933 0
c3 0 404 1661 3459 0
c4 0 73 540 2373 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-03-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51804 1410 23 13 0
c1 499 4388 590 78 0
c2 6 2039 1881 862 0
c3 0 779 1693 3099 0
c4 0 238 815 2426 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51790 1418 22 13 0
c1 512 4367 580 78 0
c2 6 2058 1891 858 0
c3 1 769 1701 3121 0
c4 0 242 808 2408 0

Date: 2021-03-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52042 1599 23 2 0
c1 613 4466 514 123 0
c2 14 1720 1973 1101 0
c3 1 715 1931 3568 0
c4 0 134 918 2581 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52044 1588 24 2 0
c1 613 4491 497 132 0
c2 13 1706 1970 1099 0
c3 0 718 1961 3579 0
c4 0 131 907 2563 0

Date: 2021-03-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 48333 1261 17 8 0
c1 413 4446 468 66 0
c2 7 1663 2374 1015 0
c3 0 494 1854 3165 0
c4 0 210 953 2831 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 48192 1211 20 11 0
c1 551 4232 566 111 0
c2 9 1832 2143 1128 0
c3 1 587 2079 3143 0
c4 0 212 858 2692 0

Date: 2021-03-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52444 1263 21 29 0
c1 370 3808 329 47 0
c2 6 1793 2474 897 0
c3 1 587 2227 2732 0
c4 0 145 1201 3308 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52186 1252 22 30 0
c1 617 3480 492 97 0
c2 18 2032 2149 1082 0
c3 0 632 2312 2546 0
c4 0 200 1277 3258 0

Date: 2021-03-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51604 1181 18 18 0
c1 696 3291 487 74 0
c2 31 1907 2383 829 0
c3 2 656 2324 3056 0
c4 0 214 1204 3633 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51070 1273 22 18 0
c1 1101 2998 694 119 0
c2 145 1890 1870 982 0
c3 15 761 2455 2975 0
c4 2 327 1375 3516 0


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