Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2021-02-25

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2021-02-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52211 1506 22 1 0
c1 645 3527 896 268 0
c2 109 1824 2981 1431 0
c3 14 426 1787 3798 0
c4 0 578 479 3876 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-02-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52173 1621 13 0 0
c1 754 3894 541 195 0
c2 95 2005 3267 1298 0
c3 21 569 1455 3619 0
c4 0 480 422 3822 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-02-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52772 1123 21 3 0
c1 1131 3699 339 100 0
c2 94 2808 2691 1058 0
c3 15 516 2237 3687 0
c4 0 341 645 3620 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-02-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53307 1122 4 8 0
c1 1109 3324 324 61 0
c2 83 2730 2459 1129 0
c3 9 555 2440 3946 0
c4 0 191 1039 2477 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53344 1125 4 8 0
c1 1080 3296 327 58 0
c2 77 2753 2459 1126 0
c3 7 540 2414 3963 0
c4 0 208 1062 2466 0

Date: 2021-02-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 47749 1222 10 15 0
c1 750 3527 338 20 0
c2 31 2422 2508 1195 0
c3 0 473 2377 3764 0
c4 0 107 876 2158 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 47793 1204 10 15 0
c1 706 3540 334 20 0
c2 31 2421 2530 1197 0
c3 0 474 2358 3765 0
c4 0 112 877 2155 0

Date: 2021-03-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 49443 1297 11 2 0
c1 544 4631 493 54 0
c2 17 2325 2437 1041 0
c3 0 378 1700 3839 0
c4 0 104 619 2421 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 49377 1291 11 2 0
c1 557 4389 219 42 0
c2 70 2454 2570 1212 0
c3 0 534 1871 3674 0
c4 0 67 589 2427 0

Date: 2021-03-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50614 1488 6 0 0
c1 488 4559 601 72 0
c2 7 2272 2314 1025 0
c3 0 485 1683 3546 0
c4 0 109 606 2263 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50438 1524 5 0 0
c1 613 3916 392 86 0
c2 58 2677 2513 1128 0
c3 0 705 1689 3457 0
c4 0 91 611 2235 0

Date: 2021-03-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52366 1397 30 6 0
c1 542 4115 553 139 0
c2 22 1707 2135 1119 0
c3 6 659 2117 3235 0
c4 0 189 785 2573 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52053 1357 28 6 0
c1 716 3161 456 157 0
c2 149 2540 2110 1263 0
c3 18 824 2040 3093 0
c4 0 185 986 2553 0


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