Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2021-02-18

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2021-02-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52520 1630 4 0 0
c1 404 4087 511 114 0
c2 2 2282 3166 1000 0
c3 0 370 2773 4086 0
c4 0 27 631 3090 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-02-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52598 1455 6 11 0
c1 260 4796 744 79 0
c2 2 2156 3374 1314 0
c3 0 358 1983 4553 0
c4 0 69 775 3141 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-02-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50657 1265 26 11 0
c1 443 4002 863 143 0
c2 55 2077 3344 1359 0
c3 0 374 1906 4308 0
c4 0 160 858 3566 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-02-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52110 1572 26 2 0
c1 559 3703 1014 254 0
c2 90 1931 2981 1472 0
c3 13 355 1740 3949 0
c4 0 422 548 3650 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52114 1563 28 2 0
c1 560 3674 1013 253 0
c2 89 1959 2996 1493 0
c3 9 363 1723 3932 0
c4 0 424 549 3647 0

Date: 2021-02-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52886 1456 26 0 0
c1 725 3180 775 326 0
c2 130 1912 2942 1131 0
c3 9 596 1889 3483 0
c4 0 567 499 3900 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52924 1428 25 0 0
c1 700 3186 763 308 0
c2 120 1950 2971 1148 0
c3 6 581 1875 3497 0
c4 0 566 497 3887 0

Date: 2021-02-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53097 1276 15 2 0
c1 1004 3596 360 167 0
c2 104 2587 2875 1001 0
c3 18 634 1872 3801 0
c4 0 398 453 4121 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53057 1258 15 2 0
c1 1022 3169 687 189 0
c2 135 2837 2037 1030 0
c3 9 721 2193 3450 0
c4 0 506 643 4421 0

Date: 2021-02-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52880 1216 12 5 0
c1 1190 3726 262 71 0
c2 96 2746 2587 1121 0
c3 16 555 2365 3988 0
c4 0 330 783 2958 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52837 1284 15 5 0
c1 1216 3567 420 92 0
c2 127 2840 2139 1037 0
c3 2 448 2478 3712 0
c4 0 434 957 3297 0

Date: 2021-02-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50798 1466 7 5 0
c1 994 3848 368 39 0
c2 75 2598 2640 1094 0
c3 1 550 2098 3740 0
c4 0 147 796 2288 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50805 1473 8 5 0
c1 986 4003 513 95 0
c2 67 2428 2394 918 0
c3 10 453 2112 3301 0
c4 0 252 882 2847 0


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