Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2021-02-11

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2021-02-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52776 1574 11 2 0
c1 632 4439 504 110 0
c2 25 2678 3026 1362 0
c3 0 470 1902 3264 0
c4 0 125 677 3132 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-02-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53219 1544 5 1 0
c1 568 4789 545 61 0
c2 0 2216 2713 1198 0
c3 0 586 2414 4117 0
c4 0 42 665 3521 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-02-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51070 1574 5 6 0
c1 440 4103 733 80 0
c2 0 1705 2948 1203 0
c3 0 447 2427 3884 0
c4 0 25 707 3693 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-02-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51166 1466 10 0 0
c1 489 4003 505 76 0
c2 4 1978 3189 1204 0
c3 0 387 2632 3982 0
c4 0 42 802 3206 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51134 1466 10 0 0
c1 521 3982 523 77 0
c2 4 1994 3160 1190 0
c3 0 396 2643 3992 0
c4 0 38 802 3209 0

Date: 2021-02-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51807 1616 8 1 0
c1 440 4097 561 102 0
c2 0 2319 3267 973 0
c3 0 350 2491 4226 0
c4 0 47 719 3004 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51786 1635 11 1 0
c1 461 4089 573 106 0
c2 0 2291 3251 984 0
c3 0 362 2482 4229 0
c4 0 52 729 2986 0

Date: 2021-02-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52314 1640 26 11 0
c1 349 4412 781 107 0
c2 13 2286 3172 1295 0
c3 0 416 1907 4473 0
c4 0 104 1096 3302 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52055 1660 31 8 0
c1 577 3927 626 66 0
c2 44 2600 2861 1090 0
c3 0 485 2278 4282 0
c4 0 186 1186 3742 0

Date: 2021-02-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52864 1486 27 4 0
c1 512 3623 985 151 0
c2 68 1969 3331 1334 0
c3 1 349 1883 4262 0
c4 0 313 770 3248 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52679 1559 45 3 0
c1 621 3044 869 118 0
c2 128 2279 3033 1120 0
c3 17 488 2206 4151 0
c4 0 370 843 3607 0

Date: 2021-02-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52211 1506 22 1 0
c1 645 3527 896 268 0
c2 109 1824 2981 1431 0
c3 14 426 1787 3798 0
c4 0 578 479 3876 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51984 1686 49 0 0
c1 738 3054 878 299 0
c2 201 1905 2810 1395 0
c3 56 491 1819 3551 0
c4 0 725 609 4129 0


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