Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2021-02-04

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2021-01-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53931 1491 8 2 0
c1 694 4231 933 132 0
c2 37 1323 3231 1955 0
c3 28 244 1238 3419 0
c4 1 72 334 1684 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-01-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53762 1595 9 12 0
c1 493 4572 460 53 0
c2 27 1651 3497 1351 0
c3 2 165 1378 3744 0
c4 0 39 338 2019 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-02-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 47590 1535 5 0 0
c1 571 4189 521 75 0
c2 36 1761 3286 1401 0
c3 0 254 1547 3999 0
c4 0 47 750 2514 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-02-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53597 1537 10 6 0
c1 605 4246 559 106 0
c2 24 2281 3174 1262 0
c3 0 542 2081 3630 0
c4 0 111 817 2947 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53602 1549 11 7 0
c1 597 4269 562 93 0
c2 27 2254 3148 1294 0
c3 0 531 2111 3618 0
c4 0 114 809 2939 0

Date: 2021-02-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52336 1687 0 0 0
c1 772 4233 488 118 0
c2 22 2781 2935 1468 0
c3 0 593 2222 3545 0
c4 0 132 627 3605 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52370 1687 1 0 0
c1 735 4260 506 120 0
c2 25 2763 2913 1488 0
c3 0 578 2227 3510 0
c4 0 138 625 3618 0

Date: 2021-02-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52691 1685 6 0 0
c1 526 4605 630 91 0
c2 0 1875 3117 1297 0
c3 0 411 2443 4271 0
c4 0 21 734 3514 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52472 1737 6 0 0
c1 730 4013 578 166 0
c2 15 2306 3236 1508 0
c3 0 445 2315 3809 0
c4 0 96 795 3690 0

Date: 2021-02-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50514 1707 16 4 0
c1 449 4144 696 92 0
c2 0 1847 3187 1194 0
c3 0 554 2559 3521 0
c4 0 33 853 3459 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50341 1735 28 4 0
c1 604 3586 612 165 0
c2 18 2308 3314 1313 0
c3 0 612 2468 3154 0
c4 0 44 889 3634 0

Date: 2021-02-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52520 1630 4 0 0
c1 404 4087 511 114 0
c2 2 2282 3166 1000 0
c3 0 370 2773 4086 0
c4 0 27 631 3090 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52348 1705 15 0 0
c1 524 3506 470 158 0
c2 54 2627 3314 1147 0
c3 0 524 2459 3775 0
c4 0 34 827 3210 0


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