Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2021-01-07

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2021-01-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 56904 1805 38 0 0
c1 1277 6255 782 77 0
c2 107 2329 2950 1059 0
c3 85 362 1802 3739 0
c4 16 272 730 1787 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-01-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 54352 1513 28 4 0
c1 768 6595 472 77 0
c2 96 2079 3017 1523 0
c3 5 495 1243 4412 0
c4 1 243 809 1492 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-01-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 56298 1948 12 1 0
c1 1184 6135 462 52 0
c2 101 2031 2960 1066 0
c3 2 426 1766 4499 0
c4 3 198 494 1800 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2021-01-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 56306 1751 20 0 0
c1 1283 5548 754 45 0
c2 40 1875 2869 1926 0
c3 10 304 1611 3871 0
c4 8 160 440 1463 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 56327 1758 21 0 0
c1 1254 5579 723 49 0
c2 49 1838 2901 1914 0
c3 9 300 1619 3885 0
c4 8 163 430 1457 0

Date: 2021-01-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 56497 1672 17 0 0
c1 1092 5973 655 86 0
c2 99 2007 3006 1393 0
c3 25 372 1481 3749 0
c4 35 253 598 1212 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 56503 1628 17 0 0
c1 1076 6018 619 91 0
c2 108 1993 3067 1425 0
c3 23 384 1454 3721 0
c4 38 254 600 1203 0

Date: 2021-01-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 55862 2231 7 0 0
c1 798 6164 562 44 0
c2 33 1975 2666 1175 0
c3 19 315 1809 3923 0
c4 13 183 695 1764 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 55349 1925 8 0 0
c1 1248 6103 672 69 0
c2 66 2266 2889 1404 0
c3 25 353 1537 3905 0
c4 37 221 633 1528 0

Date: 2021-01-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 55206 2148 1 0 0
c1 744 6325 699 88 0
c2 28 1943 2138 1146 0
c3 9 454 1872 3544 0
c4 1 315 776 1853 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 54765 1769 1 0 0
c1 1128 6173 716 133 0
c2 69 2353 2510 1214 0
c3 14 534 1542 3575 0
c4 12 356 717 1709 0

Date: 2021-01-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 55251 2062 5 8 0
c1 481 6106 1007 358 0
c2 16 1676 2020 1068 0
c3 12 393 1766 3641 0
c4 2 346 741 2263 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 54928 1755 8 10 0
c1 776 5753 901 366 0
c2 27 2139 2280 1347 0
c3 21 568 1617 3456 0
c4 10 368 733 2159 0


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