Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2020-11-26

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2020-11-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 70202 2576 29 3 0
c1 1190 10389 2587 333 0
c2 15 3610 4016 2033 0
c3 16 198 1079 2135 0
c4 0 161 652 873 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-11-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 68279 2371 24 9 0
c1 502 10471 2413 190 0
c2 16 2338 5246 2056 0
c3 18 253 1060 1827 0
c4 1 133 718 1297 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-11-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 68945 2388 49 7 0
c1 1030 9615 2490 262 0
c2 11 1654 6158 2293 0
c3 14 218 1043 1747 0
c4 0 89 480 1358 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-11-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 68437 2208 21 20 0
c1 1387 9222 2214 177 0
c2 25 1509 5961 3206 0
c3 32 329 1001 1716 0
c4 1 131 484 1271 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 68382 2250 21 18 0
c1 1447 9176 2226 196 0
c2 25 1505 5956 3204 0
c3 28 344 998 1709 0
c4 0 124 480 1263 0

Date: 2020-11-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 66889 2406 37 17 0
c1 1484 8928 2192 276 0
c2 23 2153 6267 2863 0
c3 24 330 1286 2018 0
c4 3 168 585 1053 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 66931 2349 47 14 0
c1 1445 8973 2156 288 0
c2 21 2150 6288 2820 0
c3 24 344 1294 2062 0
c4 2 169 582 1043 0

Date: 2020-11-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 64798 2568 33 5 0
c1 767 8690 1631 231 0
c2 30 3216 6164 2496 0
c3 8 238 1677 2848 0
c4 0 61 328 1033 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 64162 2502 46 9 0
c1 1400 8950 2027 517 0
c2 28 2847 5966 2716 0
c3 11 359 1439 2494 0
c4 2 115 355 877 0

Date: 2020-12-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 65571 2546 39 19 0
c1 825 9133 1632 167 0
c2 10 2149 6067 2943 0
c3 6 487 1186 2254 0
c4 0 87 268 851 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 64837 2581 52 22 0
c1 1541 8866 2447 275 0
c2 20 2117 5140 3480 0
c3 14 692 1281 1674 0
c4 0 146 272 783 0

Date: 2020-12-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 64515 2811 52 4 0
c1 998 8773 1707 186 0
c2 11 1667 5640 3777 0
c3 10 444 1238 2652 0
c4 3 226 467 922 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 63602 2820 90 8 0
c1 1881 8554 2211 556 0
c2 31 1601 4681 3500 0
c3 20 634 1630 2611 0
c4 3 312 492 866 0


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