Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2020-11-12

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2020-11-06:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available

Date: 2020-11-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 76774 2478 19 4 0
c1 515 15882 2116 166 0
c2 10 763 3273 1659 0
c3 3 199 914 2153 0
c4 0 146 388 1318 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-11-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 74662 2654 22 4 0
c1 738 14887 2782 274 0
c2 14 869 3092 2022 0
c3 14 343 1088 1944 0
c4 1 260 619 764 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-11-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 72811 2408 18 7 0
c1 1356 13091 4210 392 0
c2 16 864 3527 2148 0
c3 11 226 1002 2301 0
c4 1 119 623 1004 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 72835 2377 21 9 0
c1 1335 13102 4225 404 0
c2 15 870 3506 2151 0
c3 10 247 1005 2281 0
c4 0 112 623 1007 0

Date: 2020-11-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 73202 2457 7 0 0
c1 1771 11082 5012 572 0
c2 24 822 3256 2691 0
c3 23 298 1232 1587 0
c4 5 190 596 1135 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 73247 2478 8 0 0
c1 1723 11039 4984 591 0
c2 28 844 3310 2663 0
c3 22 300 1206 1587 0
c4 5 188 595 1144 0

Date: 2020-11-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 72755 2199 26 2 0
c1 933 10999 2406 100 0
c2 7 1498 4881 2384 0
c3 9 201 1150 2206 0
c4 3 180 832 1077 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 71701 2455 31 2 0
c1 1977 10705 3497 556 0
c2 11 1483 4139 3023 0
c3 9 259 953 1351 0
c4 9 175 675 837 0

Date: 2020-11-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 70578 2435 18 2 0
c1 1213 11156 1845 197 0
c2 11 2737 4614 1953 0
c3 18 200 1164 2296 0
c4 3 135 661 887 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 69688 2380 20 2 0
c1 2089 11202 2357 516 0
c2 20 2703 4476 2656 0
c3 16 245 912 1519 0
c4 10 133 537 642 0

Date: 2020-11-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 70202 2576 29 3 0
c1 1190 10389 2587 333 0
c2 15 3610 4016 2033 0
c3 16 198 1079 2135 0
c4 0 161 652 873 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 69058 2405 35 3 0
c1 2321 10496 3117 635 0
c2 11 3524 3784 2681 0
c3 28 309 874 1454 0
c4 5 200 553 604 0


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