Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2020-11-05

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2020-10-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 83889 4279 13 0 0
c1 679 9781 2175 499 0
c2 4 994 2770 1343 0
c3 0 72 648 618 0
c4 0 0 27 198 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-11-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 81955 3592 4 0 0
c1 377 12444 1255 63 0
c2 3 1170 3504 938 0
c3 1 287 994 1079 0
c4 0 21 472 729 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-11-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 79946 4291 2 0 0
c1 696 12805 1809 142 0
c2 11 920 3588 1469 0
c3 4 204 862 1568 0
c4 0 48 593 839 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-11-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 77968 4071 9 8 0
c1 1235 13076 1975 411 0
c2 41 1019 3166 1651 0
c3 10 198 917 1664 0
c4 0 34 380 1543 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 77751 4128 9 9 0
c1 1453 13034 1987 399 0
c2 39 1001 3134 1646 0
c3 11 198 942 1698 0
c4 0 37 375 1525 0

Date: 2020-11-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 75399 3681 28 13 0
c1 1201 14392 2497 467 0
c2 56 1048 3016 1828 0
c3 11 237 873 1699 0
c4 0 64 601 1173 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 75211 3677 34 14 0
c1 1401 14439 2520 470 0
c2 44 1010 2970 1800 0
c3 11 234 894 1754 0
c4 0 62 597 1142 0

Date: 2020-11-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 74318 2464 18 3 0
c1 628 15221 2490 256 0
c2 8 883 3014 2039 0
c3 8 265 1015 2022 0
c4 0 127 464 1343 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 73714 3285 25 7 0
c1 1210 14333 2578 429 0
c2 22 1006 3001 2540 0
c3 16 249 896 1463 0
c4 0 87 501 1224 0

Date: 2020-11-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 74756 2356 20 12 0
c1 1076 13814 3687 308 0
c2 20 964 3090 2069 0
c3 16 390 1090 1799 0
c4 0 515 721 628 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 74027 2790 27 20 0
c1 1764 13264 3387 262 0
c2 35 1120 3589 2600 0
c3 40 373 930 1307 0
c4 2 492 675 627 0

Date: 2020-11-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 72019 2468 13 4 0
c1 1475 12130 4611 486 0
c2 17 698 3614 2515 0
c3 15 318 973 1955 0
c4 2 156 524 1212 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 71143 2523 23 13 0
c1 2299 11823 4112 345 0
c2 36 931 4285 3259 0
c3 49 337 803 1408 0
c4 1 156 512 1147 0


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