Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2020-10-29

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2020-10-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 91606 3165 7 0 0
c1 962 8221 654 202 0
c2 0 1921 1385 684 0
c3 0 360 776 1034 0
c4 0 40 403 549 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-10-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 89817 3498 14 0 0
c1 349 8059 1382 270 0
c2 0 1437 1928 940 0
c3 0 166 665 616 0
c4 0 3 185 394 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-10-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 89475 3648 28 0 0
c1 665 7317 2303 386 0
c2 0 1042 2388 1090 0
c3 0 82 575 616 0
c4 0 1 85 306 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-10-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 85895 4404 17 0 0
c1 805 8663 2212 623 0
c2 1 1021 2555 1223 0
c3 0 66 559 609 0
c4 0 0 33 212 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 85658 4282 19 0 0
c1 1042 8748 2111 632 0
c2 1 1065 2622 1201 0
c3 0 59 589 627 0
c4 0 0 35 207 0

Date: 2020-10-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 83167 4712 3 0 0
c1 472 10618 2293 559 0
c2 5 912 3088 1387 0
c3 0 87 597 633 0
c4 0 0 36 148 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 82947 4451 3 0 0
c1 693 10848 2237 566 0
c2 4 943 3108 1361 0
c3 0 87 635 656 0
c4 0 0 34 144 0

Date: 2020-11-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 80466 4473 9 1 0
c1 416 12764 1407 81 0
c2 4 1062 3706 1145 0
c3 4 231 1011 1326 0
c4 0 29 617 783 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 80150 5209 9 1 0
c1 734 12201 2498 481 0
c2 6 1021 3535 1760 0
c3 0 128 678 869 0
c4 0 0 30 225 0

Date: 2020-11-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 77198 4312 2 0 0
c1 980 12868 1927 297 0
c2 25 1090 3233 1464 0
c3 5 211 958 1421 0
c4 0 59 512 1296 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 76923 4696 3 0 0
c1 1278 12687 2388 536 0
c2 7 1020 3522 2332 0
c3 0 132 672 1405 0
c4 0 5 47 205 0

Date: 2020-11-06:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available


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