Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2020-10-22

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2020-10-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 90782 3398 0 0 0
c1 726 6934 1024 204 0
c2 1 1454 1142 405 0
c3 0 334 678 281 0
c4 0 59 437 432 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-10-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 87629 3131 0 0 0
c1 417 7283 1093 318 0
c2 0 1324 1452 499 0
c3 0 333 638 362 0
c4 0 52 534 435 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-10-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 86032 2934 0 0 0
c1 681 7485 803 284 0
c2 1 1400 1608 628 0
c3 0 381 742 401 0
c4 0 52 351 426 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-10-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 91440 3132 6 0 0
c1 841 7960 612 210 0
c2 0 1943 1308 614 0
c3 0 430 759 795 0
c4 0 34 473 488 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 91295 3204 8 0 0
c1 985 7795 580 198 0
c2 1 2023 1308 644 0
c3 0 430 807 798 0
c4 0 47 455 467 0

Date: 2020-10-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 90917 3451 8 0 0
c1 1138 8276 903 208 0
c2 0 1880 1590 760 0
c3 0 359 706 838 0
c4 0 54 317 639 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 90810 3467 10 0 0
c1 1245 8266 865 211 0
c2 0 1869 1603 766 0
c3 0 349 745 864 0
c4 0 69 301 604 0

Date: 2020-10-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 90413 3516 15 0 0
c1 460 7615 2008 260 0
c2 0 1234 2057 1044 0
c3 0 102 579 575 0
c4 0 1 111 320 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 89426 3328 19 0 0
c1 1447 7841 1984 241 0
c2 0 1203 2049 1056 0
c3 0 95 588 577 0
c4 0 1 130 325 0

Date: 2020-10-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 87502 4054 26 0 0
c1 716 7853 2396 440 0
c2 0 921 2439 1346 0
c3 0 52 535 620 0
c4 0 0 37 209 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 86220 3907 50 0 0
c1 1997 8008 2388 470 0
c2 1 913 2463 1327 0
c3 0 52 489 587 0
c4 0 0 43 231 0

Date: 2020-10-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 83889 4279 13 0 0
c1 679 9781 2175 499 0
c2 4 994 2770 1343 0
c3 0 72 648 618 0
c4 0 0 27 198 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 83130 3932 13 0 0
c1 1437 10136 2117 501 0
c2 5 984 2834 1330 0
c3 0 74 634 625 0
c4 0 0 35 202 0


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