Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2020-04-02

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2020-03-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 32612 2515 27 14 0
c1 325 5798 1248 812 0
c2 0 1865 4193 3183 0
c3 0 240 1497 2359 0
c4 0 46 491 1086 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-03-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 33646 2323 30 6 0
c1 245 7155 2676 1022 0
c2 4 674 3787 2855 0
c3 0 112 1025 1805 0
c4 0 13 307 988 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-03-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50668 2323 55 13 0
c1 191 6056 2518 1044 0
c2 5 680 3503 2539 0
c3 0 113 1551 1517 0
c4 0 7 437 1689 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-04-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 48224 2357 68 22 0
c1 63 4855 2417 861 0
c2 0 1490 3914 2779 0
c3 0 373 1600 2490 0
c4 0 171 575 1638 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 48232 2361 68 23 0
c1 55 4842 2444 865 0
c2 0 1503 3889 2749 0
c3 0 364 1597 2487 0
c4 0 176 576 1666 0

Date: 2020-04-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 33077 1889 44 8 0
c1 239 4528 2248 905 0
c2 1 1866 3816 2698 0
c3 0 347 1756 2726 0
c4 0 179 556 1678 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 33071 1850 44 6 0
c1 245 4568 2232 925 0
c2 1 1850 3820 2615 0
c3 0 350 1753 2796 0
c4 0 191 571 1673 0

Date: 2020-04-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 40031 1988 59 5 0
c1 259 4813 2642 1220 0
c2 0 1522 3180 2922 0
c3 0 178 1253 1897 0
c4 0 75 439 1287 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 39970 1992 108 9 0
c1 320 3687 1934 841 0
c2 0 2260 3178 2697 0
c3 0 360 1668 2168 0
c4 0 277 685 1616 0

Date: 2020-04-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 45022 2122 39 11 0
c1 302 4905 2228 903 0
c2 0 2013 3417 2096 0
c3 0 182 1566 1711 0
c4 0 46 378 1334 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 44798 2119 40 11 0
c1 507 3968 1601 698 0
c2 19 2564 3406 1935 0
c3 0 429 1861 1792 0
c4 0 188 720 1619 0

Date: 2020-04-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 49767 2023 27 6 0
c1 264 5071 1594 788 0
c2 1 3033 2906 1856 0
c3 0 510 1513 1621 0
c4 0 89 323 1102 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 49609 2051 42 13 0
c1 401 3813 1217 698 0
c2 22 3744 2662 1587 0
c3 0 908 1708 1613 0
c4 0 210 734 1462 0


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