Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2020-03-26

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2020-03-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52410 2309 44 28 0
c1 464 5538 1269 496 0
c2 0 1754 3806 2591 0
c3 0 202 1399 2477 0
c4 0 36 311 3908 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-03-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51289 2056 22 25 0
c1 338 7369 1665 486 0
c2 0 1328 4056 2222 0
c3 0 136 1065 2058 0
c4 0 15 209 1476 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-03-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 44592 2222 35 19 0
c1 478 7148 1189 469 0
c2 5 1786 4286 1976 0
c3 0 90 1383 1701 0
c4 0 20 299 984 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-03-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 43994 2041 31 19 0
c1 512 6315 1153 815 0
c2 5 1752 4163 2767 0
c3 0 104 1341 1903 0
c4 0 28 331 878 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 44055 2072 33 20 0
c1 451 6306 1176 860 0
c2 5 1734 4136 2720 0
c3 0 102 1353 1909 0
c4 0 26 321 873 0

Date: 2020-03-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 39955 2465 37 9 0
c1 285 5109 1306 531 0
c2 0 1546 4255 2630 0
c3 0 354 1840 2168 0
c4 0 159 627 1188 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 39996 2470 39 9 0
c1 244 5127 1318 571 0
c2 0 1535 4263 2572 0
c3 0 350 1836 2172 0
c4 0 151 609 1202 0

Date: 2020-03-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 31789 2358 42 7 0
c1 160 6629 2414 979 0
c2 3 743 3843 2970 0
c3 0 91 1310 2144 0
c4 0 14 284 1369 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 31815 2963 48 12 0
c1 135 4836 1230 462 0
c2 2 1686 4081 2632 0
c3 0 286 1942 2630 0
c4 0 64 592 1733 0

Date: 2020-04-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 38277 2554 60 7 0
c1 149 5774 2594 944 0
c2 5 1131 3941 2992 0
c3 0 320 1222 2642 0
c4 0 48 358 1662 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 38274 3040 83 22 0
c1 152 4298 1601 459 0
c2 5 1859 4070 2700 0
c3 0 551 1810 3062 0
c4 0 79 611 2004 0

Date: 2020-04-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 21933 2028 91 15 0
c1 265 4785 1993 865 0
c2 2 1626 3361 2835 0
c3 0 305 1355 2899 0
c4 0 177 566 1693 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 22043 2384 117 38 0
c1 157 3746 1327 539 0
c2 0 2092 3491 2269 0
c3 0 461 1700 3341 0
c4 0 238 731 2120 0


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