Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2020-03-05

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2020-02-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 33375 1592 75 13 0
c1 397 5945 2401 756 0
c2 0 980 3548 3047 0
c3 0 149 1237 2615 0
c4 0 18 231 1145 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-03-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 49851 1515 66 15 0
c1 381 6161 2464 913 0
c2 0 618 3457 3473 0
c3 0 51 866 2732 0
c4 0 2 81 929 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-03-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 44546 1524 67 43 0
c1 377 5993 1980 1444 0
c2 0 762 3413 3212 0
c3 0 131 898 2524 0
c4 0 2 67 1151 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-03-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52044 1462 46 49 0
c1 382 4711 1591 853 0
c2 0 995 3460 2679 0
c3 0 90 1046 2549 0
c4 0 0 100 1049 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51999 1521 47 47 0
c1 427 4631 1588 865 0
c2 0 1016 3472 2669 0
c3 0 90 1035 2573 0
c4 0 0 101 1025 0

Date: 2020-03-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53423 1528 59 21 0
c1 433 4912 1565 766 0
c2 0 993 3603 3121 0
c3 0 43 978 2500 0
c4 0 1 82 1147 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53370 1532 59 29 0
c1 486 4914 1529 770 0
c2 0 991 3632 3127 0
c3 0 38 991 2518 0
c4 0 2 76 1111 0

Date: 2020-03-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51496 1771 34 21 0
c1 508 5412 1986 785 0
c2 0 675 2932 2986 0
c3 0 69 708 2078 0
c4 0 2 91 1116 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51206 1910 69 53 0
c1 798 4684 1288 608 0
c2 0 1176 3304 2921 0
c3 0 152 979 2219 0
c4 0 7 111 1185 0

Date: 2020-03-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 49332 1802 44 34 0
c1 544 5283 1903 752 0
c2 4 619 3325 3151 0
c3 0 112 771 2358 0
c4 0 3 195 1058 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 49091 2168 101 79 0
c1 784 4241 1378 734 0
c2 5 1221 3405 2887 0
c3 0 165 1149 2510 0
c4 0 24 205 1143 0

Date: 2020-03-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52610 1797 51 24 0
c1 489 4585 1826 773 0
c2 0 1034 3387 2702 0
c3 0 354 1672 2122 0
c4 0 155 333 1029 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52456 2368 124 62 0
c1 643 3319 1525 825 0
c2 0 1710 3231 2367 0
c3 0 383 2026 2311 0
c4 0 145 363 1085 0


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