Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2020-02-27

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2020-02-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53403 1896 38 24 0
c1 916 5803 1590 699 0
c2 0 1040 4672 2567 0
c3 0 93 957 2506 0
c4 0 22 176 810 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-02-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50156 2013 42 13 0
c1 838 6598 2333 725 0
c2 0 746 4519 3150 0
c3 0 45 684 2506 0
c4 0 3 48 560 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-02-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 46331 2153 46 12 0
c1 591 6639 2285 924 0
c2 3 797 4059 3307 0
c3 0 84 787 2638 0
c4 0 8 191 795 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-02-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 43143 1790 66 13 0
c1 463 6235 2449 685 0
c2 0 1091 3653 2806 0
c3 0 160 1101 2324 0
c4 0 38 221 1037 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 43156 1812 66 12 0
c1 450 6232 2448 679 0
c2 0 1072 3674 2848 0
c3 0 161 1101 2332 0
c4 0 37 201 994 0

Date: 2020-02-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 48048 1472 84 27 0
c1 442 5167 2228 878 0
c2 0 921 3381 2759 0
c3 0 126 1013 2533 0
c4 0 27 191 1093 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 48083 1516 81 22 0
c1 407 5140 2209 881 0
c2 0 909 3424 2781 0
c3 0 122 1008 2574 0
c4 0 26 175 1032 0

Date: 2020-03-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50752 1479 77 26 0
c1 373 5565 2010 1205 0
c2 0 727 3692 3474 0
c3 0 151 1044 2790 0
c4 0 9 93 1049 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50801 1860 133 49 0
c1 324 4616 1746 1025 0
c2 0 1139 3510 3273 0
c3 0 252 1339 3055 0
c4 0 64 188 1142 0

Date: 2020-03-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50709 1479 68 53 0
c1 301 5411 2044 1124 0
c2 0 875 3602 3151 0
c3 0 78 811 3069 0
c4 0 1 53 1046 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50541 1695 104 65 0
c1 469 4786 1730 967 0
c2 0 1174 3506 2931 0
c3 0 135 1109 3262 0
c4 0 54 129 1218 0

Date: 2020-03-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 42574 1573 51 30 0
c1 418 5109 1475 801 0
c2 0 1044 3468 3109 0
c3 0 46 887 2375 0
c4 0 2 120 1076 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 42291 1986 84 42 0
c1 701 4414 1165 641 0
c2 0 1257 3345 2951 0
c3 0 75 1210 2572 0
c4 0 42 197 1185 0


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