Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2020-02-20

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2020-02-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52066 1672 16 14 0
c1 626 5573 1398 736 0
c2 7 1563 3438 3283 0
c3 0 204 1047 2668 0
c4 0 3 56 575 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-02-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52963 1677 6 23 0
c1 762 5785 1616 840 0
c2 0 666 4220 3107 0
c3 0 17 693 2360 0
c4 0 3 52 602 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-02-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 47252 1685 20 14 0
c1 878 6658 1692 672 0
c2 0 1229 4545 2363 0
c3 0 74 850 2513 0
c4 0 20 145 839 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-02-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 47067 1713 25 27 0
c1 843 6462 1640 731 0
c2 0 1040 4451 2673 0
c3 0 88 773 2534 0
c4 0 12 178 938 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 47081 1747 30 32 0
c1 829 6415 1614 726 0
c2 0 1048 4496 2686 0
c3 0 92 757 2553 0
c4 0 13 170 906 0

Date: 2020-02-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51689 2045 35 20 0
c1 1062 6008 1744 574 0
c2 2 1281 4680 2619 0
c3 0 93 823 2343 0
c4 0 10 155 739 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51665 2065 38 24 0
c1 1083 5955 1696 577 0
c2 5 1304 4724 2619 0
c3 0 101 831 2353 0
c4 0 12 148 722 0

Date: 2020-02-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51967 1888 28 9 0
c1 636 6281 2063 842 0
c2 1 899 4257 2750 0
c3 0 74 827 2359 0
c4 0 5 60 625 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51709 1809 48 20 0
c1 890 5337 1578 630 0
c2 2 1818 4375 2619 0
c3 3 165 1093 2557 0
c4 0 18 141 759 0

Date: 2020-02-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52047 2040 44 12 0
c1 457 6292 2238 855 0
c2 0 1054 4042 3240 0
c3 0 88 990 2809 0
c4 0 38 191 1011 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51951 2091 67 27 0
c1 553 5508 1617 644 0
c2 0 1710 4350 3184 0
c3 0 157 1192 2968 0
c4 0 46 279 1104 0

Date: 2020-02-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 33375 1592 75 13 0
c1 397 5945 2401 756 0
c2 0 980 3548 3047 0
c3 0 149 1237 2615 0
c4 0 18 231 1145 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 33279 1755 115 23 0
c1 493 5105 1707 632 0
c2 0 1598 3917 2886 0
c3 0 200 1436 2856 0
c4 0 26 317 1179 0


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