Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2020-02-13

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2020-02-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51996 1434 6 7 0
c1 391 6076 1864 824 0
c2 0 714 3327 2843 0
c3 0 24 805 2560 0
c4 0 10 73 442 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-02-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51928 1774 17 15 0
c1 439 6315 2036 953 0
c2 0 507 3152 2542 0
c3 0 15 573 2115 0
c4 0 0 31 401 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-02-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53945 1492 26 11 0
c1 795 5172 1783 612 0
c2 0 851 3594 2400 0
c3 0 112 744 2642 0
c4 0 3 46 563 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-02-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53573 1714 10 7 0
c1 647 5309 1451 850 0
c2 8 1406 3544 3130 0
c3 0 162 1044 2859 0
c4 0 7 91 563 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53551 1712 13 7 0
c1 668 5317 1459 871 0
c2 9 1409 3544 3117 0
c3 0 153 1036 2858 0
c4 0 7 88 556 0

Date: 2020-02-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51779 1794 15 24 0
c1 674 5594 1362 649 0
c2 12 1472 3837 3261 0
c3 0 171 1121 2669 0
c4 0 5 97 606 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51766 1796 15 24 0
c1 683 5583 1334 657 0
c2 16 1481 3898 3283 0
c3 0 171 1095 2648 0
c4 0 5 90 597 0

Date: 2020-02-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 34256 1439 20 26 0
c1 905 6400 1757 737 0
c2 0 947 4242 2592 0
c3 0 31 716 2248 0
c4 0 4 58 611 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 34083 1475 25 38 0
c1 1045 5324 1303 623 0
c2 33 1898 4220 2355 0
c3 0 115 1174 2590 0
c4 0 9 71 608 0

Date: 2020-02-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51437 1435 30 24 0
c1 845 6538 1778 702 0
c2 0 1041 4439 2394 0
c3 0 88 890 2432 0
c4 0 14 191 981 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51304 1458 38 41 0
c1 936 5550 1266 549 0
c2 42 1905 4485 2209 0
c3 0 186 1337 2748 0
c4 0 17 202 986 0

Date: 2020-02-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53403 1896 38 24 0
c1 916 5803 1590 699 0
c2 0 1040 4672 2567 0
c3 0 93 957 2506 0
c4 0 22 176 810 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53159 2008 53 53 0
c1 1100 4584 1232 477 0
c2 60 2054 4544 2405 0
c3 0 179 1357 2838 0
c4 0 29 247 833 0


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