Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2020-01-23

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2020-01-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52452 1950 85 44 0
c1 510 5184 1839 759 0
c2 0 1137 5261 3758 0
c3 0 62 1106 3240 0
c4 0 0 41 190 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-01-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52629 1687 22 42 0
c1 302 6038 2237 662 0
c2 0 644 4646 3901 0
c3 0 31 775 2559 0
c4 0 0 13 265 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-01-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51564 1578 18 36 0
c1 253 5611 1848 646 0
c2 0 793 4734 5048 0
c3 0 16 636 2722 0
c4 0 0 47 177 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-01-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 47482 1816 27 28 0
c1 489 5054 1384 632 0
c2 0 900 3910 4744 0
c3 0 25 463 2847 0
c4 0 0 77 189 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 47449 1824 26 33 0
c1 522 5072 1395 651 0
c2 0 877 3898 4687 0
c3 0 22 472 2895 0
c4 0 0 70 174 0

Date: 2020-01-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51099 1855 43 18 0
c1 556 4901 1212 435 0
c2 12 1135 4114 4770 0
c3 0 25 546 2717 0
c4 0 1 26 261 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51048 1883 45 22 0
c1 613 4892 1189 456 0
c2 6 1119 4123 4747 0
c3 0 22 556 2748 0
c4 0 1 28 228 0

Date: 2020-01-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52652 1820 41 33 0
c1 459 5368 1771 664 0
c2 0 680 3903 4482 0
c3 0 24 460 2370 0
c4 0 0 14 243 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52347 1861 75 65 0
c1 746 4567 960 366 0
c2 18 1416 4447 4495 0
c3 0 48 680 2587 0
c4 0 0 27 279 0

Date: 2020-01-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52911 1536 14 26 0
c1 434 5313 1324 573 0
c2 0 1232 4401 3501 0
c3 0 46 496 2704 0
c4 0 12 25 167 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52738 1664 17 57 0
c1 600 4225 726 339 0
c2 7 2166 4833 3433 0
c3 0 72 653 2973 0
c4 0 12 31 169 0

Date: 2020-01-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53557 1437 15 16 0
c1 543 5795 1082 401 0
c2 0 2242 4357 3573 0
c3 0 189 553 2446 0
c4 0 20 10 192 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53534 1521 19 36 0
c1 566 4648 709 280 0
c2 0 3234 4588 3378 0
c3 0 255 692 2734 0
c4 0 25 9 200 0


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