Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2020-01-09

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2020-01-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 56233 1798 34 12 0
c1 553 6562 2311 441 0
c2 0 1123 6165 5324 0
c3 0 43 394 2112 0
c4 0 3 15 205 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-01-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 55128 2013 35 4 0
c1 494 5769 3667 948 0
c2 0 407 5005 5791 0
c3 0 22 266 1977 0
c4 0 1 32 207 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-01-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 47714 1609 44 11 0
c1 678 4572 3664 1107 0
c2 0 552 4609 6161 0
c3 0 19 349 1940 0
c4 0 0 29 188 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-01-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53660 1516 38 17 0
c1 958 4988 2062 1021 0
c2 0 648 4870 5669 0
c3 0 49 425 2072 0
c4 0 4 37 192 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53641 1511 39 17 0
c1 977 4963 2114 1046 0
c2 0 680 4820 5684 0
c3 0 47 416 2020 0
c4 0 4 43 204 0

Date: 2020-01-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 55590 1665 65 32 0
c1 779 4867 1862 876 0
c2 9 1102 4497 4890 0
c3 0 71 588 2613 0
c4 0 1 19 204 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 55534 1640 65 34 0
c1 832 4864 1838 841 0
c2 12 1133 4547 4966 0
c3 0 68 561 2567 0
c4 0 1 20 207 0

Date: 2020-01-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 54640 1751 28 71 0
c1 625 5157 2175 1117 0
c2 0 807 4385 5380 0
c3 0 29 663 2616 0
c4 0 0 21 242 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 54415 1705 42 87 0
c1 827 4700 1639 878 0
c2 23 1281 4703 5482 0
c3 0 55 855 2730 0
c4 0 3 33 249 0

Date: 2020-01-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53028 1907 51 54 0
c1 533 5095 2290 947 0
c2 0 1194 4624 4493 0
c3 0 59 825 3272 0
c4 0 0 3 148 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52909 1969 82 66 0
c1 617 4384 1728 745 0
c2 35 1797 4932 4484 0
c3 0 103 1033 3462 0
c4 0 2 18 157 0

Date: 2020-01-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52452 1950 85 44 0
c1 510 5184 1839 759 0
c2 0 1137 5261 3758 0
c3 0 62 1106 3240 0
c4 0 0 41 190 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52282 2076 112 58 0
c1 623 4105 1283 588 0
c2 57 2034 5568 3667 0
c3 0 117 1327 3465 0
c4 0 1 42 213 0


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