Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2020-01-02

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2019-12-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 55708 1581 23 34 0
c1 595 6554 3126 499 0
c2 0 1143 5047 5057 0
c3 0 28 301 1485 0
c4 0 18 89 109 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-12-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 57327 1642 27 24 0
c1 394 7814 3286 651 0
c2 0 714 5639 5020 0
c3 0 6 269 1490 0
c4 0 0 8 97 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-12-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 55328 1650 24 23 0
c1 406 7189 2880 900 0
c2 0 830 5741 5532 0
c3 0 47 390 1215 0
c4 0 0 12 60 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2020-01-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 54808 1885 60 11 0
c1 447 7092 2289 513 0
c2 0 955 5788 5254 0
c3 0 41 376 1948 0
c4 0 3 17 181 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 54816 1907 67 11 0
c1 439 7071 2340 519 0
c2 0 947 5717 5292 0
c3 0 48 388 1903 0
c4 0 3 18 182 0

Date: 2020-01-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53331 1841 36 8 0
c1 734 5565 2216 591 0
c2 0 1026 5675 5805 0
c3 0 41 502 2265 0
c4 0 2 43 211 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53326 1845 39 8 0
c1 739 5549 2272 605 0
c2 0 1040 5604 5827 0
c3 0 39 513 2225 0
c4 0 2 44 215 0

Date: 2020-01-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 56179 1785 50 4 0
c1 488 4732 3122 1061 0
c2 0 417 4316 5913 0
c3 0 18 310 2113 0
c4 0 0 31 206 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 55860 1677 43 8 0
c1 807 4288 1981 533 0
c2 0 938 5308 6211 0
c3 0 48 460 2338 0
c4 0 1 37 207 0

Date: 2020-01-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 56499 1471 39 18 0
c1 868 4790 2968 1158 0
c2 0 648 4745 6603 0
c3 0 33 326 2034 0
c4 0 2 39 178 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 56134 1384 43 22 0
c1 1223 4142 1981 750 0
c2 10 1354 5541 6771 0
c3 0 62 499 2268 0
c4 0 2 53 180 0

Date: 2020-01-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 55873 1799 55 4 0
c1 802 4856 2309 1095 0
c2 0 826 4706 5888 0
c3 0 45 492 2343 0
c4 0 2 16 236 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 55536 1740 68 16 0
c1 1137 4227 1460 710 0
c2 2 1459 5272 5925 0
c3 0 100 758 2687 0
c4 0 2 20 228 0


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