Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2019-12-19

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2019-12-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 59201 2454 67 15 0
c1 883 10494 4686 1086 0
c2 0 476 3599 4220 0
c3 0 7 165 769 0
c4 0 0 13 56 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-12-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 58369 2666 45 10 0
c1 567 9916 4424 1172 0
c2 0 302 4022 4374 0
c3 0 9 209 1147 0
c4 0 0 10 58 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-12-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 56885 2196 26 16 0
c1 773 9319 4163 842 0
c2 0 333 4913 5002 0
c3 0 3 152 1244 0
c4 0 0 9 95 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-12-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52167 1901 34 12 0
c1 988 7692 4116 910 0
c2 0 539 5263 5190 0
c3 0 0 165 1539 0
c4 0 0 6 95 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52212 1912 35 12 0
c1 943 7724 4198 924 0
c2 0 496 5171 5158 0
c3 0 0 174 1555 0
c4 0 0 6 97 0

Date: 2019-12-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 57068 1700 42 20 0
c1 880 8997 3898 938 0
c2 0 738 5112 4965 0
c3 0 5 242 1203 0
c4 0 0 20 154 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 57052 1738 42 20 0
c1 896 9004 3926 987 0
c2 0 694 5093 4930 0
c3 0 4 233 1190 0
c4 0 0 20 153 0

Date: 2019-12-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 54642 1885 45 16 0
c1 458 8250 4609 1266 0
c2 0 377 4442 4588 0
c3 0 9 228 1168 0
c4 0 0 22 139 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 54278 1756 53 19 0
c1 822 7976 3950 890 0
c2 0 776 5062 4889 0
c3 0 13 259 1243 0
c4 0 0 22 136 0

Date: 2019-12-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 56254 1719 47 23 0
c1 519 7850 4289 870 0
c2 0 917 4662 4557 0
c3 0 11 255 1228 0
c4 0 0 73 129 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 55959 1670 53 27 0
c1 814 7243 3632 633 0
c2 0 1542 5286 4709 0
c3 0 42 283 1309 0
c4 0 0 72 129 0

Date: 2019-12-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 55708 1581 23 34 0
c1 595 6554 3126 499 0
c2 0 1143 5047 5057 0
c3 0 28 301 1485 0
c4 0 18 89 109 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 55360 1543 25 39 0
c1 943 5941 2583 518 0
c2 0 1766 5545 4996 0
c3 0 56 340 1473 0
c4 0 18 93 158 0


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