Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2019-11-21

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2019-11-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 70051 3160 18 2 0
c1 1097 11584 3316 886 0
c2 0 2713 4535 2471 0
c3 0 63 348 465 0
c4 0 55 199 193 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-11-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 69399 3443 18 3 0
c1 435 13175 4101 1182 0
c2 0 1221 4235 3042 0
c3 0 6 173 728 0
c4 0 0 29 178 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-11-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 61249 3329 16 1 0
c1 689 12028 4214 1317 0
c2 0 638 4030 4254 0
c3 0 3 71 724 0
c4 0 0 17 112 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-11-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 66250 3566 18 3 0
c1 571 11485 3798 1351 0
c2 0 564 3282 3454 0
c3 0 2 55 257 0
c4 0 0 9 106 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 66249 3585 23 3 0
c1 572 11438 3815 1354 0
c2 0 592 3251 3435 0
c3 0 2 64 281 0
c4 0 0 9 98 0

Date: 2019-11-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 67235 2814 44 2 0
c1 674 9483 4638 1389 0
c2 0 571 2535 3565 0
c3 0 10 108 199 0
c4 0 0 3 74 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 67200 2826 34 2 0
c1 709 9459 4630 1394 0
c2 0 579 2545 3550 0
c3 0 14 116 200 0
c4 0 0 3 83 0

Date: 2019-11-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 62457 2935 16 1 0
c1 331 9126 5150 1619 0
c2 0 304 1914 3104 0
c3 0 8 102 167 0
c4 0 0 22 91 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 61993 2813 16 1 0
c1 795 9046 4520 1132 0
c2 0 504 2509 3552 0
c3 0 8 131 186 0
c4 0 2 28 111 0

Date: 2019-11-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 49165 2844 10 1 0
c1 549 8329 5114 1479 0
c2 0 354 1950 3317 0
c3 0 7 139 253 0
c4 0 1 36 96 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 48717 2925 16 1 0
c1 997 8021 4500 1206 0
c2 0 580 2505 3519 0
c3 0 3 184 286 0
c4 0 6 44 134 0

Date: 2019-11-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 64928 2802 33 5 0
c1 741 8480 4774 1197 0
c2 0 553 1970 3429 0
c3 0 6 192 388 0
c4 0 0 45 89 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 64517 2953 66 9 0
c1 1149 7903 3905 813 0
c2 3 978 2770 3629 0
c3 0 5 189 517 0
c4 0 2 84 140 0


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