Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2019-11-07

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2019-11-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 75556 3967 16 0 0
c1 700 14109 1616 309 0
c2 6 1176 1833 1336 0
c3 0 133 463 728 0
c4 0 1 97 289 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-11-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 76210 3070 49 3 0
c1 430 14292 2747 381 0
c2 2 1001 1854 1353 0
c3 0 82 448 576 0
c4 0 0 55 206 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-11-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 76822 3181 59 2 0
c1 297 10136 6290 972 0
c2 5 747 2038 1544 0
c3 0 59 396 578 0
c4 0 0 46 152 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-11-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 75892 3425 74 2 0
c1 395 9048 6204 1235 0
c2 15 1090 2211 1513 0
c3 0 49 365 547 0
c4 0 0 39 133 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 75810 3371 72 2 0
c1 478 9077 6181 1259 0
c2 14 1103 2212 1442 0
c3 0 61 389 595 0
c4 0 0 39 132 0

Date: 2019-11-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 74691 3309 26 2 0
c1 632 8541 4981 1450 0
c2 12 1128 3230 1957 0
c3 0 69 345 582 0
c4 0 8 35 95 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 74519 3273 26 2 0
c1 804 8503 4928 1409 0
c2 12 1192 3251 1942 0
c3 0 79 378 628 0
c4 0 8 34 105 0

Date: 2019-11-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 72682 3884 25 0 0
c1 467 10282 3916 1811 0
c2 0 855 2891 1976 0
c3 0 0 84 308 0
c4 0 0 25 127 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 72168 3896 36 0 0
c1 961 8990 2927 1454 0
c2 20 2034 3578 1977 0
c3 0 100 347 635 0
c4 0 1 53 156 0

Date: 2019-11-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 70322 3420 33 3 0
c1 993 10993 3620 1213 0
c2 0 1807 3350 2148 0
c3 0 27 105 335 0
c4 0 5 26 110 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 69925 3532 63 3 0
c1 1358 9095 2377 636 0
c2 30 3465 4273 2334 0
c3 2 155 370 694 0
c4 0 5 51 142 0

Date: 2019-11-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 70051 3160 18 2 0
c1 1097 11584 3316 886 0
c2 0 2713 4535 2471 0
c3 0 63 348 465 0
c4 0 55 199 193 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 69517 2935 32 2 0
c1 1589 9333 1873 443 0
c2 42 4902 5576 2484 0
c3 0 310 655 867 0
c4 0 95 280 221 0


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