Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2019-10-24

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2019-10-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 91604 3611 1 0 0
c1 795 5326 1044 333 0
c2 2 905 1529 1487 0
c3 0 132 472 671 0
c4 0 48 294 348 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-10-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 90781 3675 1 0 0
c1 607 6066 999 276 0
c2 3 825 2102 1422 0
c3 0 97 419 496 0
c4 0 19 152 245 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-10-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 89120 3628 0 1 0
c1 862 6831 877 268 0
c2 0 1218 2265 1481 0
c3 0 166 386 492 0
c4 0 19 162 234 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-10-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 86055 3927 0 0 0
c1 555 8302 958 291 0
c2 0 1028 2205 1707 0
c3 0 145 335 517 0
c4 0 71 137 248 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 85950 3897 0 0 0
c1 659 8295 994 304 0
c2 1 1055 2116 1607 0
c3 0 162 400 603 0
c4 0 64 125 249 0

Date: 2019-10-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 83369 4173 0 0 0
c1 731 10168 1003 290 0
c2 2 1345 1919 1584 0
c3 0 196 519 531 0
c4 0 51 146 349 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 83207 4121 0 0 0
c1 893 10199 1025 309 0
c2 2 1337 1825 1503 0
c3 0 229 605 591 0
c4 0 47 132 351 0

Date: 2019-10-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 82090 4094 0 0 0
c1 537 11839 1097 248 0
c2 2 1512 2244 1564 0
c3 0 199 700 663 0
c4 0 19 109 270 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 81691 4956 0 0 0
c1 935 10912 1140 304 0
c2 3 1536 2101 1434 0
c3 0 238 804 730 0
c4 0 21 105 277 0

Date: 2019-10-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 75488 4127 2 0 0
c1 624 12859 1310 345 0
c2 5 1606 1636 1514 0
c3 0 269 790 751 0
c4 0 43 184 262 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 75094 4779 2 0 0
c1 980 12084 1403 419 0
c2 43 1646 1459 1351 0
c3 0 350 857 833 0
c4 0 45 201 269 0

Date: 2019-11-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 75556 3967 16 0 0
c1 700 14109 1616 309 0
c2 6 1176 1833 1336 0
c3 0 133 463 728 0
c4 0 1 97 289 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 74929 4781 24 0 0
c1 1275 13062 1802 475 0
c2 58 1310 1565 1073 0
c3 0 229 526 792 0
c4 0 4 108 322 0


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