Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2019-04-04

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2019-03-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52842 2020 80 12 0
c1 665 6751 1246 687 0
c2 9 2088 3741 2216 0
c3 0 384 1338 2580 0
c4 0 101 380 2674 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-03-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51852 2212 38 27 0
c1 534 8334 1816 1136 0
c2 0 1151 3202 2802 0
c3 0 135 863 1804 0
c4 0 35 193 1885 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-04-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50027 2599 34 28 0
c1 512 7749 1611 789 0
c2 0 1292 3038 2588 0
c3 0 313 1164 2243 0
c4 0 103 692 1928 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-04-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52714 2386 25 17 0
c1 427 7665 1528 630 0
c2 1 1665 3558 1943 0
c3 0 278 1251 1845 0
c4 0 81 463 1880 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52727 2498 24 19 0
c1 414 7531 1517 633 0
c2 1 1697 3569 1931 0
c3 0 278 1266 1856 0
c4 0 71 449 1876 0

Date: 2019-04-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51071 2402 39 35 0
c1 313 7051 1461 611 0
c2 0 1977 3383 1416 0
c3 0 377 1208 1272 0
c4 0 97 501 1369 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51127 2491 38 35 0
c1 257 6928 1520 615 0
c2 0 2012 3330 1426 0
c3 0 391 1202 1253 0
c4 0 82 502 1374 0

Date: 2019-04-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50549 2341 33 16 0
c1 243 7876 2643 884 0
c2 3 1475 2920 1857 0
c3 0 112 1044 1086 0
c4 0 43 197 988 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50570 2704 45 29 0
c1 220 6478 1785 589 0
c2 5 2170 3048 1886 0
c3 0 425 1465 1153 0
c4 0 70 494 1174 0

Date: 2019-04-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53128 2595 31 13 0
c1 313 7575 1911 896 0
c2 5 1725 2375 1849 0
c3 0 236 738 1133 0
c4 0 76 292 943 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53121 2891 37 21 0
c1 320 6052 1370 560 0
c2 5 2605 2437 1872 0
c3 0 512 942 1272 0
c4 0 147 561 1109 0

Date: 2019-04-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50950 2566 34 32 0
c1 242 6925 1865 914 0
c2 3 2292 2614 2152 0
c3 0 321 950 1224 0
c4 0 167 740 1213 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50835 2895 48 46 0
c1 350 5447 1335 649 0
c2 10 2944 2656 2100 0
c3 0 737 1110 1309 0
c4 0 248 1054 1431 0


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