Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2019-02-28

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2019-02-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51343 1511 35 12 0
c1 428 5637 1622 709 0
c2 0 1346 3398 2401 0
c3 0 69 1178 2171 0
c4 0 14 158 1267 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-02-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52291 1432 26 5 0
c1 424 5527 2010 819 0
c2 3 685 3873 2844 0
c3 0 82 873 2747 0
c4 0 9 207 1674 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-02-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 49872 1365 31 21 0
c1 452 5547 1864 874 0
c2 0 839 3792 3192 0
c3 0 124 1035 3258 0
c4 0 14 262 1726 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-02-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52841 1708 31 0 0
c1 756 5390 1564 930 0
c2 4 1195 3487 2995 0
c3 0 163 1219 2932 0
c4 0 29 319 2424 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52880 1771 29 0 0
c1 715 5332 1579 930 0
c2 6 1191 3474 2989 0
c3 0 162 1214 2955 0
c4 0 29 324 2407 0

Date: 2019-03-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50890 1828 54 15 0
c1 599 5375 1698 819 0
c2 5 1328 3622 2922 0
c3 0 150 1405 3045 0
c4 0 45 252 3991 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50891 1864 50 19 0
c1 600 5350 1713 819 0
c2 3 1320 3631 2910 0
c3 0 143 1384 3040 0
c4 0 49 253 4004 0

Date: 2019-03-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52644 1619 41 26 0
c1 505 6179 2016 799 0
c2 0 953 3898 2411 0
c3 0 140 1316 2668 0
c4 0 33 220 1890 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52624 1782 68 34 0
c1 522 5125 1535 576 0
c2 3 1674 3715 2213 0
c3 0 267 1866 2939 0
c4 0 76 307 2032 0

Date: 2019-03-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52904 1628 39 15 0
c1 476 6110 1670 726 0
c2 0 1131 3950 2258 0
c3 0 100 1255 3166 0
c4 0 19 238 1743 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52829 1736 66 21 0
c1 542 5295 1302 540 0
c2 9 1666 3642 1994 0
c3 0 249 1816 3438 0
c4 0 42 326 1915 0

Date: 2019-03-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52376 1800 77 19 0
c1 481 6142 1561 613 0
c2 1 1240 3727 2138 0
c3 0 135 1240 2897 0
c4 0 10 281 1559 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52348 1893 92 31 0
c1 489 5413 1261 420 0
c2 21 1671 3467 1850 0
c3 0 312 1671 3202 0
c4 0 38 395 1723 0


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