Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2019-01-31

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2019-01-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53241 1746 40 57 0
c1 594 5369 1160 421 0
c2 0 1178 4610 3185 0
c3 0 29 748 2798 0
c4 0 0 79 1082 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-01-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53544 1458 14 24 0
c1 506 6199 1310 462 0
c2 0 683 4144 3038 0
c3 0 48 628 2529 0
c4 0 4 73 987 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-01-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53443 1228 11 35 0
c1 624 4477 1242 437 0
c2 0 831 3819 3112 0
c3 0 35 675 3070 0
c4 0 1 37 1262 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-01-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 54047 1406 13 20 0
c1 1009 5217 1233 400 0
c2 0 1001 3979 2712 0
c3 0 75 865 3209 0
c4 0 2 55 1289 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 54065 1378 9 17 0
c1 991 5255 1245 403 0
c2 0 991 3961 2709 0
c3 0 75 873 3211 0
c4 0 2 57 1290 0

Date: 2019-02-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53262 1532 6 11 0
c1 1200 5762 1005 260 0
c2 16 1440 3653 2573 0
c3 0 107 991 2757 0
c4 0 6 88 1170 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53289 1510 5 10 0
c1 1174 5800 1025 266 0
c2 15 1435 3636 2548 0
c3 0 99 990 2785 0
c4 0 3 87 1162 0

Date: 2019-02-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53242 1331 13 5 0
c1 960 6586 1738 441 0
c2 0 822 3410 2690 0
c3 0 72 886 2757 0
c4 0 2 35 1070 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52883 1303 17 7 0
c1 1314 5620 1197 291 0
c2 5 1697 3630 2551 0
c3 0 189 1178 3047 0
c4 0 4 60 1067 0

Date: 2019-02-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53376 1411 15 25 0
c1 948 5657 1507 546 0
c2 0 937 3693 2501 0
c3 0 115 1073 2814 0
c4 0 0 53 1062 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53113 1409 21 27 0
c1 1208 4764 1037 367 0
c2 3 1756 3847 2280 0
c3 0 189 1364 3198 0
c4 0 2 72 1076 0

Date: 2019-02-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 54023 1473 17 15 0
c1 715 6484 1297 523 0
c2 0 1114 3808 2418 0
c3 0 106 1058 2934 0
c4 0 6 111 1340 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53833 1547 20 24 0
c1 903 5549 1022 405 0
c2 2 1894 3672 2242 0
c3 0 179 1426 3187 0
c4 0 14 151 1372 0


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