Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2019-01-10

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2019-01-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 54474 2124 19 98 0
c1 434 5316 1342 628 0
c2 1 1801 4332 3180 0
c3 0 136 768 2621 0
c4 0 1 15 165 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-01-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 55127 2274 34 103 0
c1 257 5431 2414 788 0
c2 0 522 4114 3385 0
c3 0 5 426 1899 0
c4 0 0 25 169 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-01-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 55317 2195 21 0 0
c1 400 5077 2363 636 0
c2 0 651 4424 3957 0
c3 0 26 496 2027 0
c4 0 15 84 247 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2019-01-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 56200 1846 44 6 0
c1 775 4934 1633 660 0
c2 3 1158 4390 3716 0
c3 0 74 596 2546 0
c4 0 15 87 309 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 56222 1876 44 6 0
c1 753 4891 1619 641 0
c2 3 1170 4401 3739 0
c3 0 69 594 2534 0
c4 0 21 92 317 0

Date: 2019-01-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 46414 1357 56 29 0
c1 911 4350 1582 424 0
c2 3 856 4488 4253 0
c3 0 65 593 2482 0
c4 0 2 79 310 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 46424 1393 56 29 0
c1 900 4303 1557 433 0
c2 4 861 4498 4247 0
c3 0 66 599 2488 0
c4 0 7 88 301 0

Date: 2019-01-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53873 1656 57 59 0
c1 455 5037 2350 609 0
c2 0 573 3694 4260 0
c3 0 36 441 1776 0
c4 0 6 67 351 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53686 1694 59 61 0
c1 633 4439 1753 392 0
c2 9 1092 4125 4276 0
c3 0 77 580 1891 0
c4 0 6 92 435 0

Date: 2019-01-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 55564 1688 68 41 0
c1 416 5030 2314 706 0
c2 0 605 3684 4489 0
c3 0 46 463 1982 0
c4 0 8 72 417 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 55356 1728 80 44 0
c1 614 4440 1784 486 0
c2 10 1074 4059 4445 0
c3 0 123 597 2124 0
c4 0 12 81 536 0

Date: 2019-01-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 49474 1554 61 20 0
c1 476 5192 2106 722 0
c2 0 782 3864 4476 0
c3 0 34 641 2341 0
c4 0 8 91 540 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 49370 1765 88 21 0
c1 556 4303 1717 638 0
c2 24 1250 3943 4300 0
c3 0 234 889 2454 0
c4 0 18 126 686 0


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