Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2018-12-27

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2018-12-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 59626 1417 42 61 0
c1 890 6877 2779 1657 0
c2 0 490 3516 4059 0
c3 0 3 230 1674 0
c4 0 0 20 170 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-12-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 59353 1710 28 16 0
c1 389 6095 2629 1284 0
c2 0 898 3987 3918 0
c3 0 14 476 2197 0
c4 0 0 13 89 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-12-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 58829 1635 16 35 0
c1 829 5567 2373 1245 0
c2 0 849 3518 3868 0
c3 0 27 410 1920 0
c4 0 0 24 78 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-12-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 57682 1569 22 55 0
c1 828 5539 1568 859 0
c2 0 1126 3865 3658 0
c3 0 53 508 2295 0
c4 0 0 32 95 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 57725 1586 22 55 0
c1 785 5508 1570 851 0
c2 0 1145 3868 3709 0
c3 0 48 506 2262 0
c4 0 0 29 85 0

Date: 2018-12-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 57577 1611 35 50 0
c1 852 5594 2016 1036 0
c2 0 1063 3974 4025 0
c3 0 77 662 2418 0
c4 0 1 28 129 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 57566 1637 34 50 0
c1 863 5546 2040 1072 0
c2 0 1080 3960 4034 0
c3 0 82 655 2392 0
c4 0 1 26 110 0

Date: 2018-12-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 57078 2299 33 41 0
c1 259 5666 2100 801 0
c2 0 1392 3985 3539 0
c3 0 97 684 2650 0
c4 0 0 25 156 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 56622 2138 42 51 0
c1 715 5803 2115 831 0
c2 0 1407 3977 3522 0
c3 0 106 667 2645 0
c4 0 0 26 138 0

Date: 2019-01-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 55099 2254 67 6 0
c1 227 5427 1898 718 0
c2 0 1797 4139 3496 0
c3 0 142 759 2534 0
c4 0 4 11 157 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 54635 1925 83 7 0
c1 686 5761 2100 833 0
c2 5 1704 3871 3379 0
c3 0 228 799 2560 0
c4 0 6 21 132 0

Date: 2019-01-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 54474 2124 19 98 0
c1 434 5316 1342 628 0
c2 1 1801 4332 3180 0
c3 0 136 768 2621 0
c4 0 1 15 165 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53891 1665 24 110 0
c1 1016 5851 1752 826 0
c2 2 1661 3798 2873 0
c3 0 200 883 2730 0
c4 0 1 19 153 0


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