Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2018-11-22

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2018-11-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 66235 2854 20 0 0
c1 591 9382 5545 2105 0
c2 1 275 2690 3666 0
c3 0 0 44 127 0
c4 0 0 6 5 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-11-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 67962 2996 8 8 0
c1 439 8519 6129 2077 0
c2 0 189 2824 3633 0
c3 0 1 33 83 0
c4 0 0 5 34 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-11-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 65759 2994 15 3 0
c1 630 11043 4240 1623 0
c2 0 414 2866 4317 0
c3 0 2 29 113 0
c4 0 0 20 35 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-11-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 63415 2596 30 0 0
c1 989 9683 5040 1360 0
c2 0 394 3429 4358 0
c3 0 2 49 160 0
c4 0 0 35 28 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 63372 2493 49 0 0
c1 1032 9803 5035 1387 0
c2 0 376 3411 4340 0
c3 0 3 53 151 0
c4 0 0 35 28 0

Date: 2018-11-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 63468 2482 21 1 0
c1 1007 9253 4717 1240 0
c2 0 421 3944 4235 0
c3 0 3 81 269 0
c4 0 0 29 32 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 63387 2411 33 4 0
c1 1088 9325 4713 1217 0
c2 0 419 3935 4253 0
c3 0 4 82 271 0
c4 0 0 29 32 0

Date: 2018-11-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 62272 2183 13 2 0
c1 757 8016 4912 1530 0
c2 0 467 3999 4348 0
c3 0 2 119 412 0
c4 0 0 17 36 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 61833 2382 20 4 0
c1 1196 7549 4364 1433 0
c2 0 734 4531 4428 0
c3 0 3 117 420 0
c4 0 0 28 43 0

Date: 2018-11-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 64050 2022 55 9 0
c1 1010 8935 4264 1242 0
c2 0 772 4464 4034 0
c3 0 5 127 601 0
c4 0 0 13 46 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 63680 2294 75 9 0
c1 1375 8286 3883 1119 0
c2 5 1139 4769 4135 0
c3 0 15 170 598 0
c4 0 0 26 71 0

Date: 2018-11-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 63121 2125 52 15 0
c1 1276 9007 3652 1136 0
c2 0 1206 4560 4269 0
c3 0 9 180 684 0
c4 0 0 25 85 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 62695 2519 98 20 0
c1 1659 8089 3013 1094 0
c2 43 1688 5050 4190 0
c3 0 51 267 791 0
c4 0 0 41 94 0


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