Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2018-03-22

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2018-03-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53051 1818 14 3 0
c1 570 5830 1676 541 0
c2 1 996 3040 2562 0
c3 0 222 1064 3268 0
c4 0 7 334 1190 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-03-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53375 1635 8 0 0
c1 696 6247 2175 759 0
c2 0 625 3058 2681 0
c3 0 25 933 3085 0
c4 0 0 122 724 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-03-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52645 1872 26 3 0
c1 430 5271 2450 804 0
c2 0 791 3412 2340 0
c3 0 220 1341 2835 0
c4 0 13 196 878 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-03-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53589 1743 52 29 0
c1 425 4941 2086 702 0
c2 0 853 3554 2593 0
c3 0 218 1738 3117 0
c4 0 46 243 1016 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53610 1793 54 30 0
c1 404 4909 2073 725 0
c2 0 843 3584 2609 0
c3 0 219 1706 3070 0
c4 0 37 256 1023 0

Date: 2018-03-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53540 1868 35 21 0
c1 544 4609 2005 646 0
c2 0 1133 3592 2695 0
c3 0 235 2041 3401 0
c4 0 40 227 1199 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53539 1922 41 20 0
c1 545 4574 2012 681 0
c2 0 1112 3579 2730 0
c3 0 238 2030 3323 0
c4 0 39 238 1208 0

Date: 2018-03-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52551 2059 28 3 0
c1 251 5423 2726 962 0
c2 0 774 3458 2684 1
c3 0 131 1384 2848 0
c4 0 46 217 1423 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52349 2133 56 14 0
c1 453 4713 1910 642 0
c2 0 1215 3455 2574 1
c3 0 305 2069 3094 0
c4 0 67 323 1596 0

Date: 2018-03-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51626 2565 25 20 0
c1 202 5351 2357 759 0
c2 0 705 3721 2976 1
c3 0 48 1194 3356 0
c4 0 10 272 1647 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51384 2421 38 38 0
c1 444 4930 1598 534 0
c2 0 1167 3710 2761 1
c3 0 147 1881 3601 0
c4 0 14 342 1824 0

Date: 2018-03-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51428 2613 31 38 0
c1 181 5422 1927 666 0
c2 0 892 3781 2922 0
c3 0 57 1285 2991 0
c4 0 4 353 1582 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51291 2654 45 43 0
c1 317 4737 1467 501 0
c2 1 1321 3527 2764 0
c3 0 225 1886 3164 0
c4 0 51 452 1727 0


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