Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2018-03-08

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2018-03-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52190 2029 30 38 0
c1 480 7028 2464 1269 0
c2 0 1161 2098 2136 0
c3 0 284 1755 2808 0
c4 0 74 372 746 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-03-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53752 1583 21 25 0
c1 297 6328 3131 1497 0
c2 0 651 2424 2358 0
c3 0 161 1219 2582 0
c4 0 46 234 872 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-03-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53193 1820 32 25 0
c1 450 6082 3189 1380 0
c2 0 520 2143 2367 0
c3 0 166 1336 2848 0
c4 0 61 329 1322 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-03-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52902 1944 36 24 0
c1 426 5842 3307 1352 0
c2 0 540 1897 2322 0
c3 0 169 1151 2344 0
c4 0 78 376 1946 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52959 1984 34 24 0
c1 369 5803 3316 1354 0
c2 0 542 1915 2329 0
c3 0 168 1126 2321 0
c4 0 76 376 1960 0

Date: 2018-03-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51970 2168 56 16 0
c1 323 5708 3010 1099 0
c2 0 587 1994 2057 0
c3 0 119 1072 2154 0
c4 0 55 412 1123 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51978 2144 54 17 0
c1 315 5720 3049 1097 0
c2 0 603 1965 2069 0
c3 0 122 1061 2125 0
c4 0 48 415 1141 0

Date: 2018-03-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52156 1962 14 12 0
c1 359 6104 2763 991 0
c2 0 655 2816 2122 0
c3 0 62 747 2192 0
c4 0 1 143 474 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52186 2297 29 16 0
c1 329 5495 2770 996 0
c2 0 761 2352 1857 0
c3 0 163 1047 2293 0
c4 0 68 285 629 0

Date: 2018-03-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53100 1886 10 19 0
c1 379 5744 2270 581 0
c2 0 912 3088 2200 0
c3 0 289 1225 2298 0
c4 0 45 322 520 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53082 2267 30 21 0
c1 397 5123 2602 695 0
c2 0 867 2187 1817 0
c3 0 414 1557 2283 0
c4 0 205 539 802 0

Date: 2018-03-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53051 1818 14 3 0
c1 570 5830 1676 541 0
c2 1 996 3040 2562 0
c3 0 222 1064 3268 0
c4 0 7 334 1190 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52955 1982 28 3 0
c1 666 5501 2077 786 0
c2 1 827 1981 2116 0
c3 0 449 1450 3213 0
c4 0 114 592 1446 0


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