Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2018-03-01

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2018-02-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 49660 2236 49 8 0
c1 752 6447 2130 1160 0
c2 2 1286 2835 2697 0
c3 0 452 1065 3628 0
c4 0 127 284 2064 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-02-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51270 1911 21 29 0
c1 717 8387 2158 1157 0
c2 0 910 2816 2769 0
c3 0 54 868 2995 0
c4 0 2 150 953 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-02-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53423 1807 29 38 0
c1 643 7052 2192 1168 0
c2 0 1128 2315 2407 0
c3 0 125 1151 2959 0
c4 0 76 327 615 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-03-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 49703 1785 24 39 0
c1 643 7073 2271 1182 0
c2 0 1175 2187 2203 0
c3 0 317 2020 2949 0
c4 0 137 351 695 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 49715 1815 23 39 0
c1 631 7043 2239 1163 0
c2 0 1174 2203 2211 0
c3 0 311 2041 2947 0
c4 0 144 347 708 0

Date: 2018-03-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52242 1730 33 38 0
c1 439 6565 2402 1179 0
c2 0 1131 2172 2086 0
c3 0 264 2028 3011 0
c4 0 109 428 1000 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52239 1745 39 38 0
c1 442 6549 2399 1164 0
c2 0 1124 2141 2092 0
c3 0 278 2042 3013 0
c4 0 103 442 1007 0

Date: 2018-03-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52326 1803 23 18 0
c1 324 6624 3144 1356 0
c2 0 565 2205 2340 1
c3 0 128 1099 2672 0
c4 0 40 216 899 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52177 1898 36 24 0
c1 473 5887 2643 1046 0
c2 0 1056 1929 2078 1
c3 0 233 1681 3052 0
c4 0 86 398 1085 0

Date: 2018-03-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51395 1785 56 28 0
c1 406 5898 3355 1379 0
c2 0 389 1967 2551 1
c3 0 124 979 2392 0
c4 0 33 250 1510 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51270 1831 77 36 0
c1 531 5178 2740 1121 0
c2 0 959 1947 2185 1
c3 0 204 1378 2873 0
c4 0 57 465 1645 0

Date: 2018-03-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50773 1701 39 26 0
c1 246 5230 3057 1136 0
c2 0 525 1827 2294 1
c3 0 213 1198 2211 0
c4 0 78 408 1370 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50538 1940 66 29 0
c1 481 4319 2309 871 1
c2 0 1032 2002 2019 0
c3 0 288 1376 2516 0
c4 0 168 776 1602 0


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