Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2018-02-08

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2018-02-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53611 1949 17 23 0
c1 391 5641 1743 823 0
c2 0 545 3956 3064 0
c3 0 19 1269 2705 0
c4 0 0 77 927 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-02-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 54650 1667 5 1 0
c1 562 6134 1589 525 0
c2 0 795 5012 2782 0
c3 0 39 1119 2709 0
c4 0 3 67 622 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-02-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 54957 1777 4 0 0
c1 765 6190 1321 439 0
c2 0 1038 4428 2972 0
c3 0 45 1011 2772 0
c4 0 7 37 192 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-02-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 54720 1814 1 0 0
c1 879 6815 1384 584 0
c2 0 1278 4274 2620 0
c3 0 87 793 2714 0
c4 0 3 40 421 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 54720 1847 1 0 0
c1 879 6764 1410 586 0
c2 0 1296 4240 2594 0
c3 0 87 801 2729 0
c4 0 3 40 430 0

Date: 2018-02-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 54002 1929 3 1 0
c1 994 7132 1056 409 0
c2 1 1606 4164 2417 0
c3 0 67 830 3413 0
c4 0 2 49 458 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 54058 1992 4 1 0
c1 939 7075 1083 409 0
c2 0 1609 4127 2423 0
c3 0 58 837 3404 0
c4 0 2 51 461 0

Date: 2018-02-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53403 1952 2 0 0
c1 443 7858 1616 818 0
c2 0 739 3679 2517 0
c3 0 11 738 3111 0
c4 0 10 43 480 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53051 1882 20 2 0
c1 795 6984 1084 561 0
c2 0 1665 3935 2317 0
c3 0 29 977 3565 0
c4 0 10 62 481 0

Date: 2018-02-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 54977 1818 23 13 0
c1 468 6651 1630 756 0
c2 0 737 3699 2335 0
c3 0 22 1162 3253 0
c4 0 10 135 492 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 54650 1825 51 21 0
c1 787 5915 1086 509 0
c2 8 1433 3951 2161 0
c3 0 55 1408 3645 0
c4 0 10 153 513 0

Date: 2018-02-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 54687 1945 57 28 0
c1 510 6743 1652 846 0
c2 3 1021 3563 2581 0
c3 0 59 1340 3236 0
c4 0 80 199 869 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 54271 2078 80 36 0
c1 817 6023 1315 634 0
c2 112 1532 3623 2449 0
c3 0 127 1560 3589 0
c4 0 88 233 852 0


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