Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2018-01-18

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2018-01-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53904 1552 16 8 0
c1 427 5853 1695 466 0
c2 0 745 3785 3727 0
c3 0 26 551 1944 0
c4 0 12 45 593 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-01-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 57117 1713 7 1 0
c1 377 7104 1972 545 0
c2 0 602 3663 3546 0
c3 0 12 675 1567 0
c4 0 9 63 539 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-01-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 56770 1697 7 3 0
c1 702 6555 1996 581 0
c2 0 962 3777 2978 0
c3 0 28 884 2091 0
c4 0 18 151 820 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2018-01-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53532 1442 14 9 0
c1 948 5605 1893 522 0
c2 0 1253 3801 2798 0
c3 0 60 1044 2650 0
c4 0 16 240 855 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53523 1468 18 10 0
c1 957 5542 1880 532 0
c2 0 1288 3806 2793 0
c3 0 63 1041 2618 0
c4 0 15 247 881 0

Date: 2018-01-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 54856 1379 6 5 0
c1 1226 5055 1415 645 0
c2 0 1175 3966 3032 0
c3 0 56 941 2744 0
c4 0 12 189 997 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 54867 1422 6 4 0
c1 1215 5012 1407 644 0
c2 0 1168 3982 3007 0
c3 0 63 930 2734 0
c4 0 12 192 1034 0

Date: 2018-01-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 56182 1321 20 10 0
c1 862 5485 1872 1397 0
c2 0 633 3510 2485 0
c3 0 98 787 1724 0
c4 0 15 120 620 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 55857 1325 21 13 0
c1 1185 4847 1120 654 0
c2 2 1224 3869 2768 0
c3 0 137 1131 2125 0
c4 0 19 168 676 0

Date: 2018-01-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 56908 1524 14 23 0
c1 635 5272 1612 1494 0
c2 0 769 3512 3031 0
c3 0 57 866 2412 0
c4 0 6 116 626 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 56658 1517 16 30 0
c1 884 4711 974 745 0
c2 1 1286 3795 3170 0
c3 0 103 1174 2921 0
c4 0 11 161 720 0

Date: 2018-01-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 55959 1749 12 15 0
c1 806 5274 1940 1011 0
c2 0 971 3670 2677 0
c3 0 67 1017 2544 0
c4 0 21 177 798 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 55773 1931 16 22 0
c1 991 4503 1258 494 0
c2 1 1516 3931 2554 0
c3 0 98 1382 3048 0
c4 0 34 229 927 0


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