Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2017-11-23

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2017-11-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 67404 2437 39 9 0
c1 1340 9518 4869 1513 0
c2 0 440 2683 4317 0
c3 0 26 172 643 0
c4 0 0 36 93 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-11-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 68373 2604 24 18 0
c1 650 8911 4639 1606 0
c2 0 569 2824 3574 0
c3 0 27 166 537 0
c4 0 0 14 90 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-11-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 68113 2298 50 12 0
c1 1103 8958 3955 1291 0
c2 1 611 2396 3733 0
c3 0 17 169 446 0
c4 0 3 25 138 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-11-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 68084 2675 39 2 0
c1 959 9835 3617 1235 0
c2 0 792 2420 3359 0
c3 0 70 272 585 0
c4 0 49 148 286 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 68014 2715 45 3 0
c1 1029 9791 3553 1218 0
c2 0 793 2492 3383 0
c3 0 73 256 580 0
c4 0 49 150 283 0

Date: 2017-11-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 63896 2832 58 24 0
c1 1270 10190 3005 770 0
c2 0 1128 3322 3984 0
c3 0 26 283 1034 0
c4 0 0 115 265 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 63826 2917 62 24 0
c1 1340 10100 2983 769 0
c2 0 1133 3323 3997 0
c3 0 26 303 1024 0
c4 0 0 112 263 0

Date: 2017-11-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 65027 2775 27 4 0
c1 915 10504 2976 691 0
c2 0 672 3788 3746 0
c3 0 11 283 1366 0
c4 0 0 74 327 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 64243 3019 30 11 0
c1 1699 9761 2845 663 0
c2 0 1147 3822 3708 0
c3 0 32 348 1388 0
c4 0 3 103 364 0

Date: 2017-11-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 63566 2872 8 2 0
c1 1125 9711 3015 1010 0
c2 0 1060 3700 3768 0
c3 0 47 432 1154 0
c4 0 32 98 307 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 62849 3193 22 5 0
c1 1842 9087 2822 782 0
c2 0 1326 3740 3815 0
c3 0 79 531 1318 0
c4 0 37 138 321 0

Date: 2017-12-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 63958 3039 17 0 0
c1 1309 10424 2658 892 0
c2 0 1176 4191 3164 0
c3 0 60 482 1426 0
c4 0 11 130 284 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 63273 3437 20 1 0
c1 1994 9697 2260 646 0
c2 0 1458 4429 3122 0
c3 0 102 598 1724 0
c4 0 16 171 273 0


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