Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2017-11-02

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2017-10-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 78491 3009 42 0 0
c1 823 10343 4896 1524 0
c2 0 146 1214 1738 0
c3 0 3 101 184 0
c4 0 3 56 93 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-10-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 77502 3096 3 0 0
c1 415 10021 5017 1479 0
c2 0 112 1353 1843 0
c3 0 0 80 170 0
c4 0 0 36 90 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-10-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 77480 3342 16 3 0
c1 779 9228 5408 1458 0
c2 0 243 2026 2047 0
c3 0 8 103 281 0
c4 0 0 50 100 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-11-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 75854 3133 17 2 0
c1 970 9694 4770 1542 0
c2 0 501 2985 2007 0
c3 0 12 221 395 0
c4 0 0 84 102 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 75923 3285 16 2 0
c1 901 9545 4760 1566 0
c2 0 498 2945 1979 0
c3 0 11 266 397 0
c4 0 1 90 104 0

Date: 2017-11-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 74281 3566 14 1 0
c1 1373 9275 4898 1350 0
c2 0 371 2989 2979 0
c3 0 1 136 333 0
c4 0 0 26 152 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 74372 3726 14 0 0
c1 1282 9103 4810 1327 0
c2 0 383 3038 2992 0
c3 0 1 175 342 0
c4 0 0 26 154 0

Date: 2017-11-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 72102 3844 2 1 0
c1 568 9901 4439 1587 0
c2 0 408 2767 2948 0
c3 0 2 56 132 0
c4 0 9 47 125 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 71383 4040 2 0 0
c1 1287 9493 4045 1280 0
c2 0 619 3149 3144 0
c3 0 3 69 233 0
c4 0 9 46 136 0

Date: 2017-11-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 73070 2965 0 0 0
c1 1047 11692 3422 1106 0
c2 0 597 3518 3811 0
c3 0 10 150 270 0
c4 0 7 61 136 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 72640 3605 0 0 0
c1 1476 10837 3195 1009 0
c2 1 815 3723 3734 0
c3 0 10 182 438 0
c4 0 4 51 142 0

Date: 2017-11-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 71600 2574 14 2 0
c1 939 12136 2997 1043 0
c2 0 662 4413 4152 0
c3 0 7 145 720 0
c4 0 11 96 185 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 71291 3556 18 2 0
c1 1245 10828 2713 894 0
c2 3 987 4554 4074 0
c3 0 10 284 921 0
c4 0 9 96 211 0


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