Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2017-10-12

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2017-10-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 88998 3187 0 0 0
c1 937 6440 418 81 0
c2 3 2263 2545 1896 0
c3 0 602 965 1049 0
c4 0 140 473 456 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-10-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 89255 3226 0 0 0
c1 740 6905 1004 95 0
c2 2 1624 2666 1891 0
c3 1 331 920 728 0
c4 0 150 394 343 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-10-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 88049 3003 0 0 0
c1 824 7439 1044 180 0
c2 2 1365 1923 2098 0
c3 0 372 856 810 0
c4 0 54 309 412 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-10-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 84586 3139 0 0 0
c1 1102 8130 974 141 0
c2 5 1415 1528 1676 0
c3 3 390 757 808 0
c4 0 88 386 292 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 84413 3201 0 0 0
c1 1276 8081 972 143 0
c2 5 1394 1568 1730 0
c3 2 397 696 733 0
c4 0 89 409 311 0

Date: 2017-10-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 84390 3161 0 0 0
c1 1241 8831 733 237 0
c2 21 1377 1235 1296 0
c3 5 363 827 611 0
c4 0 199 384 849 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 84179 3307 0 0 0
c1 1461 8685 751 239 0
c2 15 1400 1226 1331 0
c3 2 347 799 558 0
c4 0 192 403 865 0

Date: 2017-10-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 82950 3125 1 0 0
c1 718 10633 2035 510 0
c2 0 245 1266 1904 0
c3 0 15 137 683 0
c4 0 2 55 942 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 82114 3053 1 0 0
c1 1532 9593 1030 242 0
c2 21 1137 1549 1524 0
c3 1 162 675 870 0
c4 0 75 239 1403 0

Date: 2017-10-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 82095 3206 6 0 0
c1 852 10838 2818 641 0
c2 0 239 1166 1693 0
c3 0 28 133 556 0
c4 0 11 144 681 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 81758 3040 10 0 0
c1 1177 9960 1743 322 0
c2 12 1121 1691 1220 0
c3 0 133 564 837 0
c4 0 68 259 1192 0

Date: 2017-10-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 81061 3163 17 0 0
c1 995 11216 3174 618 0
c2 0 355 1508 1709 0
c3 0 20 209 424 0
c4 0 8 179 389 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 80954 3465 69 0 0
c1 1092 9751 1965 360 0
c2 9 1321 2043 1264 0
c3 1 187 594 627 0
c4 0 38 416 889 0


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