Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2017-04-06

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2017-03-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50856 2052 21 4 0
c1 389 3579 577 483 0
c2 0 2658 2257 840 0
c3 0 1420 4166 3570 0
c4 0 694 1733 3184 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-04-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50935 1812 20 8 0
c1 186 3757 418 414 0
c2 0 2451 2091 865 0
c3 0 1470 4238 3251 0
c4 0 501 1715 3036 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-04-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52593 1695 13 14 0
c1 190 3048 434 182 0
c2 2 2225 2124 825 0
c3 0 1345 4591 3091 0
c4 0 831 2180 2804 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-04-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 46414 1678 18 14 0
c1 225 2932 323 317 0
c2 2 2325 1817 921 0
c3 0 1597 4050 3814 0
c4 0 907 2432 4019 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 46405 1740 18 15 0
c1 234 2866 320 315 0
c2 2 2356 1874 924 0
c3 0 1527 4014 3712 0
c4 0 950 2414 4119 0

Date: 2017-04-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52390 1824 17 22 0
c1 365 2765 437 334 0
c2 3 2090 1676 1144 0
c3 0 1766 3713 3376 0
c4 0 1681 2664 3885 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52367 1873 17 29 0
c1 386 2754 422 326 0
c2 5 2105 1713 1109 0
c3 0 1652 3703 3370 0
c4 0 1742 2652 3927 0

Date: 2017-04-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50628 1724 15 17 0
c1 366 2713 273 253 0
c2 0 2859 1320 851 0
c3 0 2420 3491 2655 0
c4 0 1291 2279 3988 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50466 1929 30 17 0
c1 525 2693 294 255 0
c2 3 2697 1295 824 0
c3 0 2395 3503 2690 0
c4 0 1293 2256 3978 0

Date: 2017-04-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 48158 1438 8 9 0
c1 305 2606 213 379 0
c2 4 2854 1315 963 0
c3 0 2371 3678 2516 0
c4 0 1266 2676 3370 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 48003 1677 15 14 0
c1 435 2529 207 380 0
c2 19 2810 1293 906 0
c3 10 2332 3724 2447 0
c4 0 1187 2651 3490 0

Date: 2017-04-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52318 1946 10 13 0
c1 337 2976 224 221 0
c2 12 2978 1273 750 0
c3 0 2311 4045 2510 0
c4 0 1491 2938 6031 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52249 2458 33 23 0
c1 340 2494 328 214 0
c2 53 2638 1293 692 0
c3 25 2575 3845 2404 0
c4 0 1537 2991 6192 0


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