Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2017-03-30

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2017-03-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50407 2088 12 6 0
c1 673 3888 728 239 0
c2 38 2497 2764 1175 0
c3 2 878 2460 3626 0
c4 0 333 924 1900 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-03-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 46070 1856 15 1 0
c1 556 4175 541 273 0
c2 15 2580 2474 1080 0
c3 0 906 2921 3236 0
c4 0 411 1196 2346 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-03-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 48991 1930 23 4 0
c1 395 3913 659 297 0
c2 0 2502 2279 974 0
c3 0 1119 3748 3114 0
c4 0 382 1433 2907 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-03-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 48823 1827 26 5 0
c1 367 3501 539 371 0
c2 0 2590 2048 910 0
c3 0 1334 4016 3229 0
c4 0 492 1716 3000 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 48816 1886 26 5 0
c1 374 3417 541 384 0
c2 0 2611 2014 898 0
c3 0 1341 4063 3250 0
c4 0 489 1701 2978 0

Date: 2017-04-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52522 2031 20 6 0
c1 386 3365 404 408 0
c2 0 2713 2107 776 0
c3 0 1454 4549 3383 0
c4 0 624 1728 3474 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52498 2028 24 6 0
c1 410 3309 380 414 0
c2 0 2728 2057 767 0
c3 0 1491 4646 3376 0
c4 0 631 1701 3484 0

Date: 2017-04-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51593 1617 17 16 0
c1 242 3450 466 361 0
c2 0 2343 2118 899 0
c3 0 1486 4517 3418 0
c4 0 947 2332 2928 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51493 1862 30 30 0
c1 340 3195 487 368 0
c2 2 2336 2055 868 0
c3 0 1478 4530 3424 0
c4 0 972 2348 2932 0

Date: 2017-04-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50616 1905 11 23 0
c1 223 3128 416 411 0
c2 2 2315 2044 859 0
c3 0 1525 4308 4115 0
c4 0 964 2318 4175 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50471 2086 20 44 0
c1 366 2890 527 443 0
c2 4 2289 1988 899 0
c3 0 1492 4169 3868 0
c4 0 1080 2393 4329 0

Date: 2017-04-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 49788 1870 22 23 0
c1 256 3113 420 288 0
c2 4 2253 1768 1006 0
c3 0 1691 3769 3125 0
c4 0 1176 2478 3449 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 49669 2110 31 40 0
c1 376 2831 510 342 0
c2 3 2323 1730 1019 0
c3 0 1540 3619 3032 0
c4 0 1299 2567 3458 0


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