Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2017-03-16

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2017-03-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52510 1570 5 9 0
c1 320 3658 590 431 0
c2 3 1971 2359 1375 0
c3 0 713 2554 3783 0
c4 0 374 1154 2107 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-03-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53171 1486 8 16 0
c1 331 3397 363 313 0
c2 0 2002 2250 1470 0
c3 0 558 2601 3703 0
c4 0 179 901 2420 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-03-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52616 1464 49 25 0
c1 478 3456 320 228 0
c2 6 2837 2087 933 0
c3 0 789 3430 3170 0
c4 0 243 1251 2257 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-03-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52216 1628 39 22 0
c1 678 3236 301 177 0
c2 81 3323 2187 870 0
c3 2 962 4315 3700 0
c4 0 404 1807 2938 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52210 1723 40 24 0
c1 691 3173 313 174 0
c2 75 3250 2195 870 0
c3 1 1010 4296 3766 0
c4 0 397 1805 2873 0

Date: 2017-03-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51702 2029 36 21 0
c1 705 3199 346 172 0
c2 99 3739 2334 786 0
c3 0 1406 3533 3779 0
c4 0 428 1407 3128 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51711 2098 35 23 0
c1 706 3181 375 172 0
c2 89 3662 2278 769 0
c3 0 1405 3559 3849 0
c4 0 455 1409 3073 0

Date: 2017-03-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51037 1754 21 3 0
c1 559 3675 514 109 0
c2 46 3175 2537 1233 0
c3 0 1381 3155 4209 0
c4 0 456 1253 3185 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50702 1946 31 10 0
c1 829 3278 575 118 0
c2 107 3301 2419 1162 0
c3 4 1450 3179 4334 0
c4 0 466 1276 3115 0

Date: 2017-03-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 48114 1721 14 3 0
c1 621 3674 316 121 0
c2 34 2928 2470 1140 0
c3 0 1098 2975 3275 0
c4 0 382 1211 2497 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 47806 2046 24 8 0
c1 841 3247 431 129 0
c2 104 2942 2326 1091 0
c3 18 1166 2979 3378 0
c4 0 402 1226 2430 0

Date: 2017-03-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50407 2088 12 6 0
c1 673 3888 728 239 0
c2 38 2497 2764 1175 0
c3 2 878 2460 3626 0
c4 0 333 924 1900 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50106 2485 103 17 0
c1 848 3127 954 321 0
c2 83 2615 2504 1108 0
c3 72 1036 2366 3702 0
c4 11 421 961 1798 0


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