Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2017-03-09

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2017-03-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51650 1810 17 11 0
c1 341 4568 938 303 0
c2 3 1645 2450 1068 0
c3 0 358 2293 3653 0
c4 0 234 825 1865 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-03-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50632 1781 12 8 0
c1 333 4397 676 386 1
c2 4 1774 2439 994 0
c3 4 490 2710 3944 0
c4 0 195 851 1770 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-03-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52553 1393 10 11 0
c1 251 3487 704 450 0
c2 8 1518 2597 1244 0
c3 4 637 2651 3973 0
c4 0 187 741 2050 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-03-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53742 1267 7 9 0
c1 291 3244 687 348 0
c2 6 1446 2280 1204 0
c3 0 726 2927 3544 0
c4 0 468 1093 1676 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53721 1279 8 7 0
c1 311 3204 711 345 0
c2 7 1493 2271 1195 0
c3 0 719 2935 3578 0
c4 0 456 1069 1656 0

Date: 2017-03-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53442 1644 15 14 0
c1 310 3582 538 344 0
c2 2 1865 2265 1729 0
c3 0 637 2553 3888 0
c4 0 198 923 2916 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53465 1755 17 14 0
c1 287 3478 558 361 0
c2 2 1855 2267 1723 0
c3 0 635 2554 3920 0
c4 0 203 898 2873 0

Date: 2017-03-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52481 1501 50 19 0
c1 335 3540 485 396 0
c2 4 2179 2448 1301 0
c3 0 515 2553 3629 0
c4 0 167 823 2320 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52483 1879 80 23 0
c1 320 3130 542 439 0
c2 17 2185 2413 1340 0
c3 0 539 2509 3583 0
c4 0 169 815 2280 0

Date: 2017-03-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51172 1335 56 23 0
c1 609 3380 330 197 0
c2 22 3103 2287 852 0
c3 0 766 4142 3410 0
c4 0 278 1587 3016 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51091 1673 89 28 0
c1 673 3056 385 211 0
c2 39 3084 2416 933 0
c3 0 795 3971 3385 0
c4 0 254 1541 2941 0

Date: 2017-03-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51411 1668 35 35 0
c1 637 2970 215 134 0
c2 76 3456 2127 978 0
c3 1 1436 3637 3567 0
c4 0 337 1472 2872 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 51340 1973 52 55 0
c1 671 2444 194 150 0
c2 114 3796 2234 992 0
c3 0 1318 3586 3591 0
c4 0 336 1420 2798 0


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