Description of algorithm
Interpretation of results
  Ice thickness stat.s ++
  Contingency tables

Validation of ice thickness - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2017-03-02

Data source: AWI SMOS sea ice thickness

Definition of categories:

Category   Sea ice thickness   
c1<0.3m
c20.3 - 0.6m
c30.6 - 1m
c4>1m

Model vs. SMOS observations, sea ice thickness contingency tables

Date: 2017-02-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52829 1786 30 15 0
c1 564 4362 685 187 0
c2 5 1624 2897 1305 0
c3 4 289 2976 4852 0
c4 0 77 602 1700 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-02-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53488 1633 6 14 0
c1 430 4618 690 208 0
c2 11 1964 2645 1289 0
c3 1 562 2577 4221 0
c4 0 141 970 2155 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-02-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 49217 1705 10 9 0
c1 517 4778 666 240 0
c2 5 1909 2704 1101 0
c3 2 473 2724 3996 0
c4 1 280 847 2073 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2017-03-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 48279 1503 11 11 0
c1 370 4308 796 339 0
c2 1 1521 2689 1126 0
c3 0 355 2416 3313 0
c4 0 205 723 1621 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 48304 1528 13 15 0
c1 345 4264 782 343 0
c2 1 1537 2668 1099 0
c3 0 369 2447 3327 0
c4 0 194 725 1626 0

Date: 2017-03-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53402 1819 18 15 0
c1 283 4202 777 291 0
c2 4 1597 2341 965 0
c3 3 428 2671 3706 0
c4 0 278 977 1762 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53418 1879 21 17 0
c1 267 4140 782 294 0
c2 5 1600 2326 936 0
c3 2 428 2657 3705 0
c4 0 277 998 1787 0

Date: 2017-03-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53110 1534 8 9 0
c1 307 4076 691 444 0
c2 2 1473 2557 1261 0
c3 3 599 2869 4638 0
c4 0 209 888 1851 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 53067 1769 16 19 0
c1 345 3836 798 491 0
c2 8 1494 2532 1253 0
c3 2 562 2745 4594 0
c4 0 230 922 1846 0

Date: 2017-03-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50687 1411 10 8 0
c1 322 3655 860 357 0
c2 11 1726 2353 1112 0
c3 2 924 2969 4468 0
c4 0 293 1024 2018 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 50535 1618 28 17 0
c1 476 3465 937 386 0
c2 11 1673 2298 1133 0
c3 0 932 2883 4415 0
c4 0 321 1070 2012 0

Date: 2017-03-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52510 1570 5 9 0
c1 320 3658 590 431 0
c2 3 1971 2359 1375 0
c3 0 713 2554 3783 0
c4 0 374 1154 2107 0
observations
open c1 c2 c3 c4
m
o
d
e
l		 open 52399 1971 18 22 0
c1 432 3308 706 453 0
c2 2 1823 2234 1405 0
c3 0 777 2590 3710 0
c4 0 407 1114 2115 0


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